Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 10 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 7 Jan 2026.
The high was 58.5% on 25 Jan 2026 and the low 8.5% on 4 Jul 2026. A week ago Yes was at 18%; a month ago, 13%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 51.5% on 9 Jan 2026.
$16.66 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $176.15K since listing. The order book holds $11.28K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.07K bought Yes and $12.72K bought No; the largest was a $2.06K buy of No at 88.2¢.
The largest Yes position is herewe with 11.2K shares; the largest No position is nedsta with 4.5K. Ten wallets hold 60.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 7:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 285 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 23.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| herewe | Yes | 11.17K |
| nedsta | No | 4.46K |
| givemeusername | No | 4.33K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/insurrection-act-invoked-by
| ChetterHummin |
| No |
| 3.88K |
| Aslan | No | 3.51K |
| Jumbo-Dividend | Yes | 3.09K |
| moneymakingmachine | No | 2.22K |
| Logan. | No | 2.09K |
| nufonehudis67 | Yes | 1.69K |
| barcodesellout | No | 1.52K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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