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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 21.01K | $0.236 | $6.09K | +$1.13K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes | sell | 828.8 | $0.920 | $762.5 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.87K |
| $0.359 |
| $925.94 |
| +$254.7 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat? | Yes | 873 | $0.890 | $816.26 | +$39.29 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat? | Yes | 853.8 | $0.910 | $789.77 | +$12.81 |
 Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 2.14K | $0.173 | $604.31 | +$233.64 |
| Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 489.5 | $0.837 | $433.21 | +$23.44 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? | Yes | 467.84 | $0.816 | $418.72 | +$36.9 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 696 | $0.077 | $414.47 | +$360.73 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 2.41K | $0.271 | $362.03 | -$292.37 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 537.65 | $0.083 | $335.22 | +$290.42 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | No | 394.37 | $0.857 | $323.38 | -$14.72 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.710 | $274 | -$10 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 325.01 | $0.656 | $245.38 | +$32.13 |
 Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? | No | 215.4 | $0.870 | $201.29 | +$13.89 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 5.62K | $0.063 | $185.55 | -$170.64 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.128 | $158.6 | +$13.53 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 494.19 | $0.192 | $150.73 | +$55.84 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 266.73 | $0.462 | $148.04 | +$24.74 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 244.02 | $0.531 | $136.65 | +$7.02 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | No | 133.3 | $0.900 | $119.3 | -$0.67 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 533.8 | $0.074 | $118.24 | +$78.54 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? | Yes | 206.18 | $0.409 | $115.46 | +$31.01 |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 304.71 | $0.165 | $111.22 | +$60.97 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 6.98K | $0.046 | $90.76 | -$233.97 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | No | 93.07 | $0.782 | $83.3 | +$10.47 |
| sell |
| 73.06 |
| $0.890 |
| $65.02 |
| 2d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-33 House seat?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.008 | $4.06 | 7d ago |
 Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 3.11K | $0.002 | $6.22 | 7d ago |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 304.71 | $0.165 | $50.25 | 7d ago |
| Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | sell | 22 | $0.890 | $19.58 | 9d ago |
 Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.200 | $60 | 9d ago |
| Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 10d ago |
| Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.250 | $75 | 10d ago |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 3.11K | $0.005 | $14.54 | 10d ago |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 582.53 | $0.014 | $8.42 | 10d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.010 | $1.5 | 11d ago |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 42.08 | $0.822 | $34.61 | 20d ago |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.920 | $1.87 | 20d ago |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.7K | $0.170 | $289 | 25d ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 21% or more?Yes | buy | 80.92 | $0.022 | $1.78 | 26d ago |
 Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.986 | $11.83 | 27d ago |
| Insurrection Act invoked by September 30?No | buy | 34.19 | $0.980 | $33.51 | 27d ago |
| Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 458 | $0.813 | $372.58 | 28d ago |
| Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | buy | 40.63 | $0.574 | $23.3 | 28d ago |
 Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 580 | $0.050 | $29 | 28d ago |
 Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | buy | 296 | $0.079 | $23.47 | 29d ago |
 Will Mark Sanford win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 29d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | buy | 296 | $0.610 | $180.56 | 29d ago |
 Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.095 | $25.67 | 29d ago |
| Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?No | buy | 215.4 | $0.870 | $187.4 | 29d ago |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.057 | $28.5 | 29d ago |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.058 | $23.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.060 | $114 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.060 | $65.81 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.031 | $94.49 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Yes | buy | 106.5 | $0.882 | $93.9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?No | buy | 40 | $0.881 | $35.24 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 68.67 | $0.999 | $68.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 527.6 | $0.966 | $509.66 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.440 | $2.89 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.29K | $0.453 | $584.47 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?Yes | sell | 38.41 | $0.358 | $13.74 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.410 | $12.71 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?Yes | sell | 130.08 | $0.401 | $52.19 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NJ-11 House seat?No | buy | 51.3 | $0.950 | $48.73 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 107.17 | $0.870 | $93.24 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 802.4 | $0.848 | $680.65 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 346.61 | $0.220 | $76.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 545.8 | $0.341 | $186.09 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.096 | $96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.977 | $87.93 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 280 | $0.040 | $11.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.510 | $867 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 315 | $0.230 | $72.45 | Jul 31, 2026 |