Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 45 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
Across the 316 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73.5% on 8 May 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 28 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.7%; a month before, 1.1%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 15% on 24 Nov 2025.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$1.24K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $275.46, with a 7.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 38 trades, $21.98 bought Yes and $627.81 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 198 shares; the largest No position is allenzzz with 414.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 316 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| allenzzz | No | 413.81 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 197.68 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 186.2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
16 more markets, none above 4.7%.
| Perypery |
| Yes |
| 75.05 |
| deepabhi1 | No | 22.2 |
| K80PRO | No | 21 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 20 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 12.37 |
| nufonehudis67 | No | 10 |
| pinner | Yes | 5.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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