Analytics
Yes is at 19.5%, down 30 points from 49% when the market opened on 20 Nov 2025.
Across the 331 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 11 Jun 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 17.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 54.5% on 18 Jul 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$18.29K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.75K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 311 trades, $575.88 bought Yes and $6.69K bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 644 shares; the largest No position is forever123 with 651. Ten wallets hold 91.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 331 points, 20 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | 49.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| forever123 | No | 651.42 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 644.22 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 485.2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
16 more markets, none above 4.8%.
| ineedmassage |
| No |
| 480.01 |
| WageringGrandma | No | 145.89 |
| AciliMeyvaSuyu | No | 100 |
| 0xblocked | Yes | 80 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 80 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 77.59 |
| kenbrucepopmaster | Yes | 49.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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