Analytics
Yes is at 4.9%, down 27 points from 31.5% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
Across the 318 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.3% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.3%; a month before, 4.2%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 51.3% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$29.67K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.78K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 295 trades, $609.77 bought Yes and $12.02K bought No; the largest was a $4.49K buy of No at 93.0¢.
The largest Yes position is jacquelineha with 9.1K shares; the largest No position is allenzzz with 12.3K. Ten wallets hold 93% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 318 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 31.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| allenzzz | No | 12.31K |
| jacquelineha | Yes | 9.1K |
| murshak | Yes | 2.21K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
16 more markets, none above 4.3%.
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile |
| Yes |
| 1.33K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 1.31K |
| KingZeManel | No | 999.99 |
| jaja5050 | Yes | 692.18 |
| radek44 | No | 543.7 |
| pingentfan1 | Yes | 361 |
| mwenya | Yes | 242.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
