Analytics
Yes is at 11%, down 39 points from 50% when the market opened on 20 Nov 2025.
Across the 318 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 26 Feb 2026 and the lowest 11% on 20 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19.5%; a month before, 18%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 41% on 28 Nov 2025.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.61K since listing. The order book holds $638.95, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 103 trades, $93.49 bought Yes and $1.65K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 332 shares; the largest No position is ineedmassage with 748. Ten wallets hold 92.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 318 points, 20 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ineedmassage | No | 748.21 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 331.73 |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf2 | Yes | 117 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
16 more markets, none above 4.7%.
| AciliMeyvaSuyu |
| No |
| 100 |
| doudouc | Yes | 100 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 94 |
| Fluo | Yes | 65.99 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 52 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 51.91 |
| napamen | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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