Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.01K | $0.910 | $1.9K | +$70.35 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.890 | $925.6 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.27K |
| $0.782 |
| $1.13K |
| +$137.93 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.82K | $0.530 | $989.06 | -$1.57K |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 895.73 | $0.853 | $837.51 | +$73.2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1.04K | $0.890 | $826.8 | -$98.8 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 789 | $0.773 | $775.59 | +$165.51 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 390 | $0.780 | $329.55 | +$25.35 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 285 | $0.842 | $281.44 | +$41.59 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | No | 387.92 | $0.287 | $193.19 | +$81.74 |
 Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 180 | $0.820 | $161.1 | +$13.5 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 185 | $0.490 | $160.03 | +$69.38 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 640.44 | $0.640 | $137.69 | -$272.19 |
 Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 120 | $0.840 | $102 | +$1.2 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 4.1K | $0.011 | $65.6 | +$22.45 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 668.5 | $0.406 | $45.12 | -$226.42 |
 Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? | No | 41 | $0.910 | $40.82 | +$3.51 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 915 | $0.274 | $14.18 | -$236.58 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.031 | $10.4 | -$39.2 |
| buy |
| 2.06K |
| $0.410 |
| $845.01 |
| 10d ago |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 120 | $0.840 | $100.8 | 24d ago |
| Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 180 | $0.820 | $147.6 | 24d ago |
| Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.910 | $37.31 | 24d ago |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.593 | $5.93 | 24d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.893 | $47.33 | 24d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 84.74 | $0.920 | $77.96 | 24d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 288 | $0.730 | $210.24 | 26d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 348 | $0.850 | $295.8 | 28d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 45 | $0.850 | $38.25 | 28d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.680 | $104.04 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.620 | $496 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.620 | $1.22K | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 826 | $0.930 | $768.18 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 151.5 | $0.140 | $21.21 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 640.44 | $0.640 | $409.88 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 226.2 | $0.862 | $194.96 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.1K | $0.011 | $43.15 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 134.76 | $0.031 | $4.18 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 170.63 | $0.037 | $6.26 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 241.07 | $0.840 | $202.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?No | sell | 464 | $0.994 | $461.11 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?No | buy | 464 | $0.714 | $331.3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 622.83 | $0.770 | $479.58 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.330 | $30 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14K | $0.002 | $28 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.003 | $60 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | buy | 588.41 | $0.259 | $152.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.818 | $125.15 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 212.95 | $0.110 | $23.42 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 212.95 | $0.110 | $23.42 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?Yes | buy | 26.35 | $0.045 | $1.17 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.045 | $2.24 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.045 | $13.48 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?No | buy | 34.86 | $0.069 | $2.42 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 15.91 | $0.120 | $1.91 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 147.27 | $0.120 | $17.67 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 370 | $0.490 | $181.3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 260 | $0.314 | $81.64 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.87K | $0.065 | $121.55 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 580 | $0.860 | $498.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Spurs vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 700 | $0.070 | $49 | May 31, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. ThunderThunder | sell | 999.99 | $0.260 | $260 | May 31, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 999.99 | $0.140 | $140 | May 31, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 1K | $0.180 | $180 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.700 | $209.96 | May 31, 2026 |