Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 47 points from 51% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
Across the 312 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2.6% on 7 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.4%; a month before, 4.2%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 20% on 5 Dec 2025.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$222.47 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $30.1K since listing. The order book holds $15.51K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $874.94 bought Yes and $1.49K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Friday with 2K shares; the largest No position is celery-cactus with 2K. Ten wallets hold 79.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 312 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 51.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Friday | Yes | 2K |
| celery-cactus | No | 2K |
| Capital-Endoderm | Yes | 1.69K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 4.3%.
| aviato |
| No |
| 1.14K |
| hadarhaddad | No | 637.74 |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 527.42 |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 400 |
| iraa3 | No | 300 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 289.1 |
| bananabreakfast | Yes | 268.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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