Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.755 | $588 | -$167.07 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.390 | $22.23 | 11h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 3K |
| $0.107 |
| $465 |
| +$145 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.210 | $430 | +$10.41 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5K | $0.077 | $392.5 | +$6.75 |
| Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.280 | $379.99 | +$240 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | Yes | 999.97 | $0.175 | $344.99 | +$169.6 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.540 | $335 | -$205 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 30K | $0.010 | $315 | +$15.2 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | No | 599.99 | $0.560 | $206.1 | -$129.7 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 988.7 | $0.110 | $153.25 | +$44.49 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.133 | $130 | -$136.24 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 8K | $0.036 | $116 | -$173.99 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | Yes | 3K | $0.057 | $108 | -$61.99 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.085 | $92 | -$78.48 |
 Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | No | 824 | $0.166 | $86.52 | -$50.12 |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 464.74 | $0.150 | $81.33 | +$11.62 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.093 | $75 | -$65.08 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30? | Yes | 2K | $0.038 | $72 | -$4.53 |
 ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 82 | $0.970 | $69.91 | -$9.64 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 507.03 | $0.137 | $68.45 | -$1.25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.070 | $65 | -$5 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 500 | $0.160 | $57.5 | -$22.5 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 470 | $0.229 | $51.7 | -$55.73 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.56K | $0.005 | $47.78 | $0 |
 Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 104 | $0.556 | $44.72 | -$13.08 |
| buy |
| 137.42 |
| $0.010 |
| $1.36 |
| 13h ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.160 | $160 | 17h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | sell | 155.12 | $0.750 | $116.34 | 21h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 117.39 | $0.100 | $11.74 | 22h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.013 | $6.39 | 22h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 29.52 | $0.070 | $2.07 | 22h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | sell | 66.5 | $0.930 | $61.85 | 22h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 26 | $0.330 | $8.58 | 23h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 100 | $0.330 | $32.99 | 23h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 155.12 | $0.217 | $33.73 | 23h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 23h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 46.5 | $0.430 | $20 | 23h ago |
| Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.360 | $29.88 | 1d ago |
| Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.280 | $140 | 1d ago |
| Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Yes | sell | 251.6 | $0.200 | $50.32 | 1d ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No | sell | 276 | $0.220 | $60.72 | 1d ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.220 | $44 | 1d ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No | sell | 300 | $0.220 | $66 | 1d ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.234 | $46.7 | 1d ago |
| Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Yes | buy | 196.8 | $0.156 | $30.79 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.959 | $191.8 | 2d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 2d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 220.94 | $0.039 | $8.7 | 2d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 279.06 | $0.036 | $9.97 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.040 | $0.05 | 4d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 298 | $0.010 | $3.05 | 5d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.051 | $25.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $29.99 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.018 | $17.84 | 5d ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No | buy | 620 | $0.170 | $105.4 | 5d ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No | buy | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | 5d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.930 | $21.39 | 5d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.35 | $0.421 | $1.41 | 5d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.72 | $0.788 | $25 | 5d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump Insult Mapquest this week?Yes | buy | 191.81 | $0.050 | $9.59 | 5d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.040 | $83.89 | 5d ago |
 Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?No | buy | 300 | $0.040 | $12 | 6d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.260 | $78 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.016 | $15.67 | 6d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.890 | $77.43 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 574.69 | $0.005 | $2.7 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 104.7 | $0.003 | $0.31 | 6d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.970 | $101.85 | 6d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 152.85 | $0.033 | $5.02 | 6d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.043 | $3.02 | 6d ago |
 Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | buy | 28.42 | $0.045 | $1.28 | 6d ago |
| Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.045 | $31.17 | 6d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 168 | $0.026 | $4.37 | 6d ago |