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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 759.76K | $0.500 | $577.03K | +$197.16K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 39.43K | $0.998 | $39.35K | 28d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 759.76K |
| $0.500 |
| $182.72K |
| -$197.16K |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 49.67K | $0.965 | $48.16K | +$244.25 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 29.58K | $0.980 | $29.23K | +$227.11 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 28.65K | $0.980 | $28.24K | +$160.31 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 25.04K | $0.897 | $24.3K | +$1.83K |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 20.57K | $0.938 | $19.65K | +$362.3 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 19.64K | $0.970 | $19.18K | +$128.64 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 17.02K | $0.957 | $16.45K | +$161.79 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.57K | $0.962 | $15.18K | +$206.5 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 14.32K | $0.942 | $13.68K | +$184.09 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 14.01K | $0.976 | $13.66K | -$9.4 |
 Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 12.8K | $0.983 | $12.63K | +$49.39 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 8.78K | $0.965 | $8.63K | +$165.88 |
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.03K | $0.981 | $7.92K | +$36.15 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 7.96K | $0.968 | $7.72K | +$15.6 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | No | 6.32K | $0.975 | $6.26K | +$94.28 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.04K | $0.978 | $5.97K | +$66.91 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.13K | $0.974 | $4.98K | -$15.4 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 5.11K | $0.930 | $4.83K | +$75.57 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.78K | $0.965 | $4.71K | +$93.2 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.74K | $0.964 | $4.66K | +$95.87 |
 Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | No | 4.37K | $0.963 | $4.3K | +$91.01 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 4.08K | $0.966 | $4.01K | +$68.78 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 3.88K | $0.961 | $3.77K | +$45.56 |
| buy |
| 7.3K |
| $0.997 |
| $7.28K |
| 28d ago |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 20.56K | $0.999 | $20.53K | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 23.14K | $0.999 | $23.12K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.998 | $2.34K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 4.43K | $0.997 | $4.42K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 386.69 | $0.997 | $385.53 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 14.27K | $0.997 | $14.23K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 35.99K | $0.996 | $35.85K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 35.4K | $0.997 | $35.29K | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 250 | $0.990 | $247.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.945 | $94.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.906 | $453 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 39.28 | $0.903 | $35.48 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 644.86 | $0.999 | $644.22 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s remarks not air?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 6.7K | $0.997 | $6.68K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 6.69K | $0.993 | $6.65K | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 4.2K | $0.995 | $4.18K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 200 | $0.995 | $199 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 361.88 | $0.980 | $354.64 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 628.21 | $0.990 | $621.93 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.990 | $2K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 612.51 | $0.999 | $611.9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.2K | $0.999 | $29.17K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | sell | 407.11 | $0.318 | $129.31 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.354 | $35.4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 107.11 | $0.332 | $35.55 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.650 | $1.67K | Aug 2, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 15.13K | $0.001 | $15.13 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.85 | $0.999 | $79.77 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 299.98 | $0.227 | $68.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Critical Discord Incident by July 31?No | buy | 90 | $0.998 | $89.86 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will STRC market cap hit $14B by July 31?No | buy | 366.66 | $0.997 | $365.56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.999 | $2K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Seattle have more than 3 inches of precipitation in July?No | buy | 306.81 | $0.999 | $306.4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | buy | 20.39 | $0.999 | $20.37 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | buy | 45.2K | $0.999 | $45.16K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | buy | 60.47 | $0.998 | $60.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.91 | $0.992 | $22.73 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 168.66 | $0.975 | $164.44 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 4.63K | $0.974 | $4.51K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 85 mph?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.999 | $799.2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 138.3 | $0.999 | $138.11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.999 | $1.18K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 59.9 | $0.999 | $59.84 | Jul 31, 2026 |