Analytics
Yes is at 2.7%, down 2.8 points from 5.5% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 268 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11.5% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.8%; a month before, 3%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 6.5% on 22 Jan 2026.
$12.32 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.46M since listing. The order book holds $105.25K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $347.28 bought Yes and $28.88K bought No; the largest was a $4.87K buy of No at 97.4¢.
The largest Yes position is Rufr with 23.4K shares; the largest No position is keribit with 29.5K. Ten wallets hold 50.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 268 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 5.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| keribit | No | 29.48K |
| occasionalAwareness | No | 27.56K |
| Rufr | Yes | 23.35K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-greenland-in-2026
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 |
| No |
| 21.34K |
| marketsbetts | Yes | 16.52K |
| aenews2 | Yes | 12.21K |
| Jumbo-Dividend | Yes | 10.81K |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 7.96K |
| Busy-Prince | Yes | 5.77K |
| Keen Oracle 60E1 | No | 5.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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