Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 13 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.
Across the 274 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3%; a month before, 6.4%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 36% on 1 Jan 2026.
$605.31K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.98K, with a 1.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.25K bought Yes and $25.84K bought No; the largest was a $3.63K buy of No at 95.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Fiskantes with 18.4K shares; the largest No position is 333777 with 10K. Ten wallets hold 76.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 274 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 16.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at: https://defillama.com/stablecoins A data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-stablecoins-hit-500b-before-2027
| Peaceful-Fire-Bell |
| No |
| 3.81K |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 3.78K |
| XieGuangKun | No | 3.58K |
| Rapid Maven 2EF4 | No | 2.87K |
| Plain-Birdbath | Yes | 2.58K |
| AlfredTheShiller | Yes | 2.02K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 1.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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