Analytics
Yes is at 4.2%, down 4.4 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 28 May 2026.
Across the 152 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.5% on 31 May 2026 and the lowest 3.6% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.2%; a month before, 4.5%.
$311.06 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $157.04K since listing. The order book holds $35.61K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.06K bought Yes and $52.53K bought No; the largest was a $22.02K buy of No at 92.0¢.
The largest Yes position is BigRabbit with 18K shares; the largest No position is Solar Raven A90C with 5.1K. Ten wallets hold 81.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 28 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 8.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BigRabbit | Yes | 17.96K |
| Bravo414 | Yes | 6.38K |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 5.11K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jd-vance-out-as-vp-by
| Anjun |
| No |
| 5.06K |
| DEGENKHAN | No | 3.75K |
| siick | No | 2.5K |
| Creepy-Appliance | Yes | 2.22K |
| Another-Allowance | No | 2.2K |
| QMG-CORE | No | 1.59K |
| NotMasterFan | No | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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