Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 8.79K | $0.950 | $8.6K | +$253.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.995 | $1.46K | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.89K |
| $0.948 |
| $5.69K |
| +$108.58 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.87K | $0.875 | $5.69K | +$553.62 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 5.55K | $0.938 | $5.3K | +$96.45 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.25K | $0.936 | $5.07K | +$153.72 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 4.84K | $0.972 | $4.81K | +$102.35 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 4.38K | $0.978 | $4.37K | +$90.14 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 3.39K | $0.894 | $3.37K | +$337.74 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 3.48K | $0.882 | $3.22K | +$151 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 3.16K | $0.959 | $3.07K | +$40.25 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.25K | $0.953 | $2.23K | +$86.72 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.3K | $0.870 | $2.21K | +$210.45 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 2.2K | $0.930 | $2.08K | +$33 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2.22K | $0.900 | $2.05K | +$55.5 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.02K | $0.990 | $2.01K | +$12.21 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 2.02K | $0.992 | $2.01K | +$6.06 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.02K | $0.993 | $2.01K | +$0 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.05K | $0.933 | $2K | +$91.38 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 2.1K | $0.938 | $1.98K | +$15.5 |
 GTA VI released by October 31? | No | 1.89K | $0.952 | $1.86K | +$61.16 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.55K | $0.934 | $1.45K | +$1.61 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.26K | $0.945 | $1.19K | -$0.32 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.19K | $0.910 | $1.11K | +$29.73 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.950 | $1K | -$43.66 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.14K | $0.880 | $974.7 | -$28.5 |
| buy |
| 27.88 |
| $0.995 |
| $27.74 |
| 2d ago |
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | 3d ago |
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.977 | $97.7 | 3d ago |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.9 | $0.993 | $32.67 | 3d ago |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.992 | $124 | 3d ago |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.992 | $36.7 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.992 | $2K | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.993 | $2.01K | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.995 | $995 | 6d ago |
| Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 240 | $0.997 | $239.28 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.986 | $1.01K | 14d ago |
| Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 238 | $0.995 | $236.81 | 27d ago |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.995 | $1.18K | 28d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.979 | $1.08K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.900 | $1.98K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.996 | $996 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| GTA VI released by October 31?No | buy | 32.52 | $0.976 | $31.74 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 169.84 | $0.880 | $149.46 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 940 | $0.960 | $902.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 399 | $0.959 | $382.64 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 185.08 | $0.958 | $177.31 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.57 | $0.960 | $17.83 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 375.87 | $0.910 | $342.04 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 414.03 | $0.971 | $402.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 87.93 | $0.970 | $85.29 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 329.75 | $0.960 | $316.56 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 671 | $0.995 | $667.65 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 120.2 | $0.994 | $119.48 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 663.53 | $0.950 | $630.35 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 632.12 | $0.978 | $618.21 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 467.59 | $0.920 | $430.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.960 | $2.02K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.910 | $1.08K | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?No | buy | 55.78 | $0.954 | $53.21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?No | buy | 150.08 | $0.953 | $143.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.950 | $1.03K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.947 | $1.26K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 480.1 | $0.975 | $468.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No | buy | 458 | $0.920 | $421.36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Waymo IPO before 2027?No | buy | 33.75 | $0.966 | $32.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.930 | $4.93 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| GTA VI released by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No | buy | 70.64 | $0.953 | $67.32 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.967 | $1.93K | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.999 | $2.01K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 227 | $0.973 | $220.87 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.972 | $97.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 222.13 | $0.900 | $199.92 | Aug 3, 2026 |