Analytics
Paper trading
Yes is at 2.1%, down 13 points from 15% when the market opened on 14 Feb 2026.
The high was 21.5% on 3 May 2026 and the low 1.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2.1%; a month ago, 1.8%. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 20% on 29 Apr 2026.
$89.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $56.49K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.37K bought Yes and $17.81K bought No; the largest was a $7.72K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Insidious-Workshop-Tamale with 4.2K shares; the largest No position is bullishkirby2 with 7.8K. Ten wallets hold 76.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 79 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 14, 11:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 235 points, 14 Feb 2026 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | 15.0% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bullishkirby2 | No | 7.83K |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 4.37K |
| Insidious-Workshop-Tamale | Yes | 4.22K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-t1-beat-grok-ai-in-2026
| Anjun | No | 3.82K |
| AiBird | Yes | 3.44K |
| Merry-Chairman | Yes | 2.11K |
| suntori | Yes | 1.48K |
| GROKSUPERB0T | Yes | 1.15K |
| lisra | No | 825.9 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 595.63 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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