Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | No | 825.9 | $0.894 | $811.86 | +$73.61 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.76K | $0.889 | $7.79K | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 757.88 |
| $0.907 |
| $734.76 |
| +$47.49 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.842 | $483.5 | +$62.5 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $97.3 | +$6.3 |
| buy |
| 115.21 |
| $0.507 |
| $58.41 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.69K | $0.141 | $519 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 449 | $0.900 | $404.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 774.93 | $0.863 | $669.12 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.07 | $0.782 | $100.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 108.64 | $0.257 | $27.95 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 496.25 | $0.061 | $30.27 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 382 | $0.891 | $340.28 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.64 | $0.475 | $51.57 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 339.7 | $0.461 | $156.54 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.55 | $0.259 | $40.57 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 656.25 | $0.896 | $588.05 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 56.12 | $0.910 | $51.07 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 17.43 | $0.807 | $14.07 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 381.62 | $0.900 | $343.46 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 119.69 | $0.882 | $105.59 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.789 | $37.08 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.500 | $150 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 110.07 | $0.900 | $99.06 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 28.9 | $0.914 | $26.42 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 25.99 | $0.784 | $20.37 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 15.07 | $0.876 | $13.19 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by August 31?Yes | buy | 146.33 | $0.871 | $127.39 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.890 | $22.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.15 | $0.860 | $6.15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 67.42 | $0.802 | $54.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.720 | $20.16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 13.12 | $0.790 | $10.36 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by August 31?Yes | buy | 81.91 | $0.859 | $70.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 306 | $0.700 | $214.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 44.9 | $0.750 | $33.68 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 871.35 | $0.669 | $583 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 100.01 | $0.680 | $68.01 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes | buy | 242.1 | $0.231 | $55.84 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | sell | 126.24 | $0.608 | $76.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?No | sell | 218.14 | $0.992 | $216.39 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | sell | 44.39 | $0.402 | $17.85 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | sell | 30.94 | $0.502 | $15.52 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | sell | 237.17 | $0.539 | $127.91 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.680 | $10.2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.565 | $62.16 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 712.89 | $0.650 | $463.06 | Jun 26, 2026 |