Analytics
lisra has made $16.67K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 9.27K | $0.506 | $4.87K | +$179.25 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$10.78B | $72.16B | 2,961 | 50 | 52.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | buy | 47.3 | $0.940 | $44.46 | 1h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 06:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 22:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 22:16 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 06:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $31.29K and losing ones cost $7.74K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.94K on “Grok 4.20 released by January 15?” (No); the largest loss, $5.34K on “Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 413 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($72.16B). Its open positions are worth $11.52K across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.43K |
| $0.749 |
| $1.36K |
| +$286.23 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 2K | $0.610 | $1.27K | +$50 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.54K | $0.444 | $1.14K | +$14.81 |
 Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | No | 825.9 | $0.894 | $794.52 | +$56.27 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? | No | 757.88 | $0.907 | $744.24 | +$56.96 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 5.37K | $0.339 | $732.36 | -$1.09K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.842 | $481.75 | +$60.75 |
 Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 272 | $0.634 | $133.28 | -$39.13 |
| buy |
| 47.7 |
| $0.940 |
| $44.84 |
| 1h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 1h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | buy | 45.97 | $0.970 | $44.59 | 1h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 2h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | buy | 47.52 | $0.930 | $44.18 | 2h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | buy | 49.15 | $0.908 | $44.64 | 2h ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
