
Yes is at 49%, about where the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 66%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 66% on 18 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?”.
$1.18K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $464.55, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is lisra with 272 shares; the largest No position is molodoyy with 299.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 6:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Wonder model (1.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Wonder" and be designated as version 1.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.1 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Wonder (muse-wonder-1.0) or Muse Wonder Full (muse-wonder-full-1.0) would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Wonder 2, while models whose name does not include "Wonder," such as Muse Spark or Muse Glimmer models, or which retain a version designation of 1.0 or below, such as Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full (both released October 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of either, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-muse-wonder-1pt1-released-byptptpt
| FFFF3 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 32 |
| JsonStatham | Yes | 25 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 24 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| Silver Atlas DDDA | Yes | 20 |
| KimchiCapital | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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