Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 1.88K | $0.454 | $1.4K | +$545.55 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | sell | 25 | $0.710 | $17.75 | 25m ago |
|
| No |
| 886.74 |
| $0.138 |
| $713.83 |
| +$591.68 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.33K | $0.116 | $700.47 | +$545.87 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 725 | $0.851 | $648.88 | +$31.91 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 962.29 | $0.543 | $635.11 | +$112.62 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 950.6 | $0.526 | $584.62 | +$84.05 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 979.49 | $0.422 | $582.8 | +$169.54 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 907.58 | $0.627 | $558.16 | -$10.81 |
 Will John Ternus say "Afford" or "Affordable" during his Apple Keynote? | No | 622.3 | $0.811 | $553.85 | +$49.24 |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? | Yes | 727.85 | $0.514 | $480.38 | +$106.37 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.518 | $468.85 | -$53.55 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.84K | $0.174 | $437.75 | +$117.72 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? | No | 478.01 | $0.821 | $422.8 | +$30.21 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 487 | $0.513 | $382.3 | +$132.33 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.201 | $371.71 | +$90.37 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.345 | $343.29 | -$72.62 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | No | 526.5 | $0.560 | $339.59 | +$44.75 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 638.09 | $0.393 | $322.24 | +$71.66 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 365.58 | $0.111 | $303.07 | +$262.63 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? | Yes | 797.11 | $0.298 | $302.1 | +$64.51 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | No | 384.91 | $0.268 | $288.68 | +$185.34 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 349.99 | $0.524 | $286.99 | +$103.5 |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.141 | $282.54 | +$117.19 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30? | Yes | 1.62K | $0.179 | $267.83 | -$21.65 |
 Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 699.84 | $0.175 | $247.39 | +$124.73 |
| sell |
| 12.15 |
| $0.720 |
| $8.75 |
| 27m ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.500 | $0.59 | 57m ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | 1h ago |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 298.52 | $0.370 | $110.39 | 1h ago |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?No | sell | 237.19 | $0.458 | $108.56 | 1h ago |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 30.1 | $0.038 | $1.13 | 2h ago |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 380.11 | $0.551 | $209.26 | 2h ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?No | buy | 32.32 | $0.920 | $29.73 | 2h ago |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.210 | $13.44 | 2h ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?No | buy | 100.96 | $0.838 | $84.6 | 2h ago |
 Will ESPN Fantasy Sports & More be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 2h ago |
| Will ESPN Fantasy Sports & More be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | buy | 100 | $0.399 | $39.92 | 2h ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.554 | $55.4 | 6h ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.897 | $26.9 | 6h ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 535.01 | $0.108 | $57.52 | 7h ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 626 | $0.530 | $331.78 | 9h ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Afford" or "Affordable" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 446.31 | $0.820 | $365.97 | 1d ago |
 Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 12, 2026?No | sell | 24.8 | $0.882 | $21.88 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 324.6 | $0.520 | $168.79 | 1d ago |
 Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 164.31 | $0.042 | $6.97 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 487 | $0.513 | $249.97 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.540 | $44.82 | 1d ago |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 161.99 | $0.173 | $28.09 | 1d ago |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 190 | $0.095 | $18.02 | 1d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 214.74 | $0.136 | $29.16 | 1d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.972 | $38.87 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 280 | $0.453 | $126.84 | 1d ago |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.223 | $26.8 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 195 | $0.011 | $2.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 204.92 | $0.660 | $135.25 | 1d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.185 | $29.6 | 1d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 301 | $0.093 | $27.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 283 | $0.640 | $181.02 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 164.89 | $0.127 | $21.01 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 402.12 | $0.740 | $297.57 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 522.75 | $0.580 | $303.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 119 | $0.295 | $35.09 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.800 | $48.01 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 171.01 | $0.807 | $138.01 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.812 | $89.33 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.160 | $3.68 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 117.37 | $0.147 | $17.22 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 1d ago |