Analytics
Yes is at 32.9%, down 22 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 11 Jul 2026.
Across the 107 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.3% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 29.9% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49%; a month before, 43%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 92.5% on 12 Jul 2026.
↓ $5.50 is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?”, ahead of ↓ $5.00 at 22.5%.
$40 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.74K since listing. The order book holds $321.35, with a 4.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 155 trades, $764.84 bought Yes and $1.03K bought No.
The largest Yes position is longdated-poli with 840 shares; the largest No position is molodoyy with 1K. Ten wallets hold 94.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 54.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 32.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| molodoyy | No | 1.01K |
| longdated-poli | Yes | 839.83 |
| paula0xa | Yes | 210.71 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-in-2026-20260709171530825
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 136.74 |
| Artaius | Yes | 99 |
| richardd | No | 80 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 77.58 |
| lionthefox | No | 67.11 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 35 |
| 0xJasonSan | No | 34.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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