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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 769.23 | $0.130 | $619.23 | +$519.23 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zcash dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.56 | $0.530 | $6.13 | 10d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 7.07K |
| $0.120 |
| $282.97 |
| -$567.02 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 330.21 | $0.303 | $260.2 | +$160.2 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 5.78K | $0.121 | $228.5 | -$471.49 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 2.94K | $0.187 | $209.05 | -$340.95 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 1.54K | $0.390 | $207.69 | -$392.31 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.090 | $160.94 | +$60.94 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 833.33 | $0.300 | $104.17 | -$145.83 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | Yes | 1.54K | $0.065 | $69.43 | -$30.57 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 911.81 | $0.219 | $59.27 | -$140.73 |
| Will Zcash dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 109.43 | $0.530 | $46.51 | -$11.49 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | Yes | 857.42 | $0.122 | $44.16 | -$60.84 |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.300 | $39.25 | +$24.25 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 43.86 | $0.570 | $31.8 | +$6.8 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 452.8 | $0.254 | $29.43 | -$85.57 |
| Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 213.16 | $0.380 | $26.64 | -$54.36 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | OpenAI | 181.82 | $0.165 | $16.36 | -$13.64 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 228.57 | $0.096 | $12.57 | -$9.43 |
 Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | Yes | 534.72 | $0.084 | $12.57 | -$32.43 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | Yes | 379.14 | $0.132 | $11.18 | -$38.82 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 383.46 | $0.130 | $9.39 | -$40.61 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 700 | $0.035 | $8.75 | -$15.75 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.063 | $6.9 | -$5.7 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | No | 59.76 | $0.335 | $3.88 | -$16.12 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.220 | $3.86 | -$6.14 |
| buy |
| 49.58 |
| $0.380 |
| $18.84 |
| 10d ago |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.28 | $0.121 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Zcash dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will Zcash dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Yes | buy | 89.41 | $0.201 | $18 | 19d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August?Yes | buy | 757.62 | $0.198 | $150 | 19d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?Yes | buy | 171.23 | $0.292 | $50 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?Yes | buy | 694.44 | $0.360 | $250 | 19d ago |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | buy | 181.82 | $0.165 | $30 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.065 | $100 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.07K | $0.120 | $850 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 146.66 | $0.014 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 490.1 | $0.061 | $30 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 780.26 | $0.641 | $500 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 911.81 | $0.219 | $200 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 700 | $0.320 | $224 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.320 | $192 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.610 | $183 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.440 | $220 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 550.95 | $0.520 | $286.41 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.063 | $12.6 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.31 | $0.035 | $0.01 | May 4, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.94 | $0.147 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 222.66 | $0.225 | $50 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 147.75 | $0.320 | $47.28 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.230 | $23.46 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes | sell | 341.04 | $0.500 | $170.52 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.08 | $0.059 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 777.78 | $0.090 | $70 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.390 | $600 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.025 | $100 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Yes | buy | 51.51 | $0.090 | $4.64 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes | buy | 331 | $0.285 | $94.28 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.910 | $75.83 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Yes | sell | 383.79 | $0.122 | $46.85 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes | sell | 4.69K | $0.199 | $934.05 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 60.16 | $0.744 | $44.76 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes | buy | 36.95 | $0.677 | $25 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.260 | $8 | Mar 21, 2026 |