Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 7K | $0.500 | $5.32K | +$1.82K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 7K |
| $0.495 |
| $1.68K |
| -$1.78K |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 1.35K | $0.715 | $865.38 | -$101.55 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 20.24K | $0.055 | $576.96 | -$529.71 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.200 | $239.24 | +$19.55 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 409.49 | $0.626 | $202.7 | -$53.51 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $88 | -$2 |
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 264.62 | $0.266 | $72.77 | +$2.48 |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 95.19 | $0.722 | $66.16 | -$2.55 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? | Yes | 150 | $0.330 | $61.5 | +$12 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 51 | $0.870 | $44.63 | +$0.26 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 119.3 | $0.171 | $32.09 | +$11.72 |
 Will John Ternus say "Steve Jobs" during his Apple Keynote? | Yes | 37.29 | $0.191 | $18.65 | +$11.54 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 100 | $0.260 | $17.5 | -$8.5 |
 Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $15.7 | -$2.7 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 95.22 | $0.116 | $15.04 | +$3.98 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20.5B by September 30? | Yes | 47.42 | $0.230 | $11.14 | +$0.24 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 387.26 | $0.011 | $9.68 | +$5.36 |
 Will Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | No | 9 | $0.950 | $8.6 | +$0.05 |
 Will Wyoming have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | Yes | 21 | $0.080 | $7.88 | +$6.2 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | Yes | 28.51 | $0.200 | $7.84 | +$2.14 |
 Will Brian Tevlin win the 2026 PLL Hard Hat Award (SSDM)? | No | 14 | $0.900 | $7.14 | -$5.46 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 484.98 | $0.008 | $4.61 | +$0.71 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of September 2026? | No | 5.05 | $0.820 | $4.27 | +$0.13 |
 Will Fredrik Larsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | Yes | 77.51 | $0.009 | $3.84 | +$3.1 |
| sell |
| 9.99 |
| $0.040 |
| $0.4 |
| 2h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,900?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 3h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.270 | $8.1 | 3h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.250 | $7.5 | 3h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 74.51 | $0.105 | $7.8 | 5h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.110 | $1.76 | 6h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 6h ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 6h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | 6h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | sell | 19.12 | $0.850 | $16.25 | 7h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | 8h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | sell | 630.75 | $0.270 | $170.3 | 9h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | 10h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.270 | $39.15 | 10h ago |
 Will Sofia Jarl be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?Yes | buy | 69.4 | $0.042 | $2.91 | 10h ago |
| Will Fredrik Larsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes | buy | 77.51 | $0.009 | $0.73 | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 11h ago |
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 11h ago |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?Yes | sell | 82.12 | $0.920 | $75.55 | 12h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 12h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.890 | $32.93 | 17h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 63 | $0.890 | $56.07 | 17h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | sell | 164.33 | $0.031 | $5.09 | 17h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | sell | 216 | $0.031 | $6.71 | 17h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?Yes | buy | 76.5 | $0.966 | $73.87 | 1d ago |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.130 | $7.41 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 102.67 | $0.820 | $84.19 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.037 | $3.7 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | sell | 84.18 | $0.280 | $23.57 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.043 | $4.3 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.048 | $4.8 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | buy | 116 | $0.070 | $8.12 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.335 | $6.7 | 1d ago |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.460 | $24.38 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Wilmer Isac Canales Ascona win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
 Will Yody Sandro Leonides Nájera win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.004 | $0.09 | 1d ago |
 Will Jorge James Pérez Rosas win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | 1d ago |
 Will Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Yes | sell | 20.1 | $0.017 | $0.35 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 1d ago |