Will Ewa Pajor finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

sportsResolved

Yes, settled Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$472

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBallon d'Or Soccer

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 27 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 12 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 33.5% on 3 Oct 2026. $472.08 traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 10:50 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Carabao	No	91.63
Better-Browsing	No	50
CorArm999	No	21

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 3 players tie for the top 3 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 3 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final three places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/womens-ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026

Dates

Event starts

Sep 29, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Oct 27, 2026 UTC