Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 24 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 71.7% on 9 Sep 2026. $48.67K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 24 Jul 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 46.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 94.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Somber-Ice | No | 3.8K |
| richardd | No | 1.86K |
| dedidanc | No | 1.11K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-kimi-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191206820
| Mr.Frog🐸 | No | 1.01K |
| DOG-UndressedVersion | No | 623.38 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 276.69 |
| marki01 | No | 200.12 |
| molodoyy | No | 162.54 |
| manochartino | No | 120 |
| Azure Oracle FC7D | Yes | 119.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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