Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
Mr.Frog🐸 has made $5.19K on Polymarket.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
No chart history is available for this wallet yet.
The Sources tab shows which records are available.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 759.92 | $0.602 | $406.56 | -$51.16 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $215.65 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | buy | 104.11 | $0.695 | $72.39 | 1h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-03 05:10 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 18:28 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 18:28 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 2,043 markets. Most of the volume is in politics ($215.65). Its open positions are worth $4.77K across 60 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 444.84 |
| $0.559 |
| $371.44 |
| +$122.88 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | 451 | $0.648 | $358.55 | +$66.32 |
 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | No | 430.35 | $0.658 | $301.03 | +$17.61 |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October? | No | 280 | $0.920 | $260.4 | +$2.8 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | Yes | 600 | $0.417 | $246 | -$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 552 | $0.205 | $222.18 | +$109 |
 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | No | 964.99 | $0.168 | $202.65 | +$40.45 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 310.99 | $0.526 | $194.37 | +$30.66 |
 Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | No | 400 | $0.370 | $192 | +$44 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 215.99 | $0.571 | $177.11 | +$53.87 |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | No | 902.48 | $0.171 | $171.47 | +$16.93 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | No | 505 | $0.494 | $161.6 | -$87.9 |
 US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | No | 889 | $0.210 | $160.02 | -$26.67 |
 Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 200 | $0.600 | $130.2 | +$10.29 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 1.81K | $0.101 | $89.56 | -$92.93 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.049 | $88.5 | +$14.61 |
 Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.087 | $84.47 | -$8.53 |
 Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | No | 200 | $0.420 | $82 | -$2 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.034 | $82 | +$47.89 |
 Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M? | Yes | 80 | $0.800 | $79.04 | +$15.04 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.101 | $70 | -$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 350 | $0.427 | $64.75 | -$84.81 |
 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 100 | $0.640 | $62.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will "Klara and the Sun" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 61 | $0.940 | $60.79 | +$3.45 |
| buy |
| 267.29 |
| $0.636 |
| $170 |
| 2h ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | sell | 103.72 | $0.940 | $97.5 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | buy | 138 | $0.046 | $6.35 | 2h ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
