Analytics
Yes is at 98.7%, up 48 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.7% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 48% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Lyon curfew effectively lifted by...?”.
$4.55K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.85K since listing. The order book holds $20.81K, with a 2.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 248 trades, $7.24K bought Yes and $1.08K bought No; the largest was a $1.35K buy of Yes at 97.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Hot-Skull with 2.4K shares; the largest No position is frozenriver with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 78.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 98.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hot-Skull | Yes | 2.43K |
| frozenriver | No | 1.17K |
| troim | No | 800 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Lyon time), passes without any curfew in effect in any part of the City of Lyon, France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A calendar day passes without any curfew in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Lyon time on that day, a curfew is in effect in any part of the City of Lyon. The City of Lyon refers to the municipality (commune) of Lyon, within its official municipal boundaries. A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in the City of Lyon, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A curfew of any scope will count, whether citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of the City of Lyon, and must be officially declared by the City of Lyon, the Prefecture of the Rhône, or a French national authority. A broader curfew (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will count so long as it applies to at least part of the City of Lyon. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not be considered curfews for the purposes of this market. Orders restricting demonstrations or gatherings, closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not be considered curfews unless they also impose a curfew as defined above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lyon-curfew-effectively-lifted-by
| LornaPredicts |
| No |
| 787.48 |
| DerDon | Yes | 600 |
| rocky42015 | No | 568.62 |
| itstuffer | Yes | 526.1 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 472.53 |
| BillyBoy94 | Yes | 434.56 |
| Optimus- | Yes | 311.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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