Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Yes | 1.39K | $0.673 | $1.35K | +$410.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | buy | 79.48 | $0.981 | $77.99 | 1h ago |
| Yes |
| 1.06K |
| $0.747 |
| $909.83 |
| +$121 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | No | 812.41 | $0.850 | $778.69 | +$87.91 |
 Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 714.75 | $0.957 | $701.17 | +$17.16 |
 Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 958.39 | $0.553 | $651.71 | +$122.08 |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | No | 624.49 | $0.820 | $616.38 | +$104.52 |
 Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? | No | 399.79 | $0.816 | $345.81 | +$19.76 |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 217.91 | $0.973 | $214.86 | +$2.87 |
 Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 214.13 | $0.809 | $198.07 | +$24.77 |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? | No | 191.02 | $0.811 | $166.18 | +$11.28 |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 172.51 | $0.763 | $144.91 | +$13.33 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? | No | 183.52 | $0.768 | $144.06 | +$3.12 |
 California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition | No | 260.59 | $0.431 | $136.81 | +$24.59 |
 Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by September 30? | No | 221.53 | $0.460 | $136.24 | +$34.28 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | Yes | 520.93 | $0.204 | $117.21 | +$10.84 |
 Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 103.63 | $0.959 | $101.3 | +$1.92 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | Yes | 119.04 | $0.641 | $99.4 | +$23.05 |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.072 | $98.72 | +$22.2 |
 Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | Yes | 268.49 | $0.339 | $98 | +$7.06 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | No | 177.91 | $0.464 | $85.4 | +$2.79 |
 Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? | No | 79.42 | $0.922 | $75.77 | +$2.53 |
 Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? | No | 71 | $0.937 | $68.66 | +$2.13 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by September 30? | No | 137.73 | $0.324 | $66.11 | +$21.45 |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31? | No | 106.39 | $0.742 | $64.9 | -$14.01 |
 Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? | Yes | 253.21 | $0.206 | $64.57 | +$12.43 |
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.025 |
| $1.23 |
| 1h ago |
| Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | buy | 103.63 | $0.959 | $99.38 | 1h ago |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | buy | 138.43 | $0.968 | $134 | 1h ago |
| Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | buy | 70 | $0.957 | $66.99 | 1h ago |
| Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | buy | 584.75 | $0.954 | $557.92 | 1h ago |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 809.59 | $0.019 | $15 | 3h ago |
| Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Yes | buy | 268.49 | $0.339 | $90.94 | 4h ago |
| Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 45.36 | $0.799 | $36.23 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?No | sell | 255.57 | $0.893 | $228.16 | 5h ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.010 | $8 | 6h ago |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?No | buy | 191.01 | $0.811 | $154.9 | 6h ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No | sell | 452 | $0.492 | $222.29 | 21h ago |
 Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?No | buy | 54 | $0.290 | $15.66 | 21h ago |
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?No | sell | 301.53 | $0.923 | $278.41 | 22h ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | buy | 163 | $0.774 | $126.24 | 23h ago |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.594 | $118.8 | 23h ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.750 | $3.82 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | sell | 285.53 | $0.793 | $226.35 | 1d ago |
 Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 288.23 | $0.176 | $50.8 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 741.93 | $0.133 | $98.81 | 1d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 99.76 | $0.128 | $12.77 | 1d ago |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.045 | $53.73 | 2d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No | buy | 160.93 | $0.309 | $49.68 | 2d ago |
 LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 52.17 | $0.090 | $4.7 | 2d ago |
 LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.986 | $20.71 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 156.76 | $0.159 | $25 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 342.86 | $0.980 | $336 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 766.01 | $0.970 | $743 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 112.67 | $0.888 | $100 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 176.17 | $0.568 | $100 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 108.55 | $0.701 | $76.09 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | buy | 180 | $0.781 | $140.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | buy | 48.18 | $0.760 | $36.62 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | sell | 39.99 | $0.790 | $31.59 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | sell | 510.14 | $0.858 | $437.53 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | sell | 410.9 | $0.900 | $369.67 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.700 | $3.56 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?No | sell | 113.49 | $0.857 | $97.23 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 41.73 | $0.879 | $36.67 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?No | sell | 110.5 | $0.887 | $98.05 | 2d ago |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?No | buy | 110 | $0.886 | $97.41 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | sell | 43.75 | $0.920 | $40.25 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?No | buy | 70 | $0.870 | $60.9 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | buy | 21 | $0.920 | $19.32 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?No | sell | 91 | $0.830 | $75.53 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | sell | 215.5 | $0.920 | $198.26 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?No | sell | 349 | $0.872 | $304.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?No | sell | 139.97 | $0.879 | $122.97 | 3d ago |