Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 10K | $0.540 | $8.35K | +$2.95K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?Yes | sell | 417.13 | $0.450 | $187.71 | 19d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 8K |
| $0.595 |
| $5.88K |
| +$1.12K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 7K | $0.602 | $5.82K | +$1.6K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 4K | $0.404 | $3.4K | +$1.78K |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 5K | $0.640 | $3.37K | +$175.03 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7K | $0.600 | $3.26K | -$944.99 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.747 | $2.84K | +$601.14 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.688 | $2.38K | +$322.47 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 8K | $0.354 | $2.12K | -$713.33 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 10K | $0.371 | $2.1K | -$1.61K |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 3K | $0.386 | $1.92K | +$762.57 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 9K | $0.571 | $1.85K | -$3.29K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.184 | $1.55K | -$293.55 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 4.02K | $0.173 | $1.41K | +$715.89 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 2K | $0.605 | $1.31K | +$100.01 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.140 | $967.5 | +$827.5 |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30? | No | 1.2K | $0.544 | $964.19 | +$311.8 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.510 | $900 | -$120 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.82K | $0.368 | $840.94 | -$565.99 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.290 | $810 | +$230 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | No | 859.49 | $0.330 | $777.84 | +$494.21 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.463 | $770 | -$155.95 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.248 | $735 | +$486.42 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | No | 799.99 | $0.730 | $728 | +$144 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.230 | $700 | -$220 |
| buy |
| 23.75 |
| $0.083 |
| $1.97 |
| 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.200 | $232.71 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours?Yes | buy | 775.75 | $0.057 | $43.94 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.070 | $140 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.38 | $0.520 | $57.92 | 19d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 650 | $0.903 | $586.95 | 19d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 442.28 | $0.470 | $207.87 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 141.44 | $0.540 | $76.38 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 949.99 | $0.420 | $399 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 313.11 | $0.298 | $93.44 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300.98 | $0.350 | $105.34 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.258 | $2.58 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 3K | $0.950 | $2.85K | 20d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | sell | 691.67 | $0.130 | $89.92 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | buy | 800 | $0.390 | $312 | 21d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | buy | 718.33 | $0.510 | $366.35 | 21d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 49.54 | $0.470 | $23.28 | 21d ago |
 Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?Yes | buy | 94.73 | $0.192 | $18.2 | 25d ago |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?No | buy | 40 | $0.578 | $23.12 | 25d ago |
 Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 343 | $0.112 | $38.42 | 25d ago |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 288.78 | $0.139 | $40.25 | 25d ago |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?Yes | buy | 131.71 | $0.700 | $92.2 | 25d ago |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.594 | $118.8 | 25d ago |
 Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?No | buy | 180 | $0.110 | $19.8 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 674 | $0.100 | $67.4 | 25d ago |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | buy | 87.49 | $0.240 | $21 | 26d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | sell | 552.98 | $0.997 | $551.32 | 26d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026?No | buy | 337 | $0.121 | $40.74 | 26d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 6.43 | $0.168 | $1.08 | 26d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 180.03 | $0.868 | $156.27 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | sell | 300 | $0.190 | $57 | 27d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.420 | $2.8 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 471.03 | $0.470 | $221.38 | 28d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 48.33 | $0.160 | $7.73 | 28d ago |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 901 | $0.554 | $499.55 | 28d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.170 | $6.12 | 28d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.050 | $0.01 | 28d ago |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.510 | $20.4 | 29d ago |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?No | buy | 742.03 | $0.815 | $604.78 | 29d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 399.99 | $0.680 | $271.99 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 796.7 | $0.336 | $267.78 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.379 | $7.58 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 757.68 | $0.498 | $377.3 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.159 | $159 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 417.34 | $0.317 | $132.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.190 | $950 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?No | buy | 462 | $0.370 | $170.94 | Aug 3, 2026 |