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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 36K | $0.500 | $27.34K | +$9.34K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 463.7 | $0.440 | $204 | 9h ago |
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| Yes |
| 36K |
| $0.500 |
| $8.66K |
| -$9.34K |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | No | 5.78K | $0.720 | $5.37K | +$1.21K |
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 6.04K | $0.622 | $4.99K | +$1.23K |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5K | $0.880 | $4.42K | +$25 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 5.12K | $0.703 | $3.71K | +$114.86 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.4K | $0.818 | $2.94K | +$160 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.19K | $0.713 | $1.9K | -$376.88 |
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 2.05K | $0.497 | $1.87K | +$844.69 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.92K | $0.842 | $1.8K | +$184.11 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 1.77K | $0.680 | $1.48K | +$282.81 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.53K | $0.657 | $1.24K | +$226.3 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 6.98K | $0.346 | $1.22K | -$1.2K |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 2.42K | $0.469 | $1.15K | +$13.12 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.27K | $0.650 | $1.15K | +$324.05 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.250 | $900 | -$100 |
Will Congress override any veto in 2026? | No | 874.36 | $0.780 | $830.64 | +$148.64 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.660 | $787.49 | -$202.5 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 909.62 | $0.572 | $786.82 | +$266.82 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 2K | $0.350 | $709.99 | +$10 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 3.01K | $0.260 | $691.44 | -$89.98 |
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | No | 802.74 | $0.529 | $626.13 | +$201.13 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 4.31K | $0.137 | $624.55 | +$34.62 |
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | No | 707.32 | $0.608 | $611.83 | +$181.66 |
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 596.92 | $0.910 | $579.91 | +$36.71 |
| buy |
| 30.28 |
| $0.396 |
| $12 |
| 10h ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 3.56K | $0.720 | $2.56K | 16h ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.720 | $1.6K | 16h ago |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 18.46 | $0.370 | $6.83 | 18h ago |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.130 | $144.48 | 1d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.52K | $0.940 | $1.43K | 1d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 375.93 | $0.930 | $349.61 | 1d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 5.11K | $0.490 | $2.5K | 1d ago |
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 1d ago |
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a pillager?No | buy | 642.74 | $0.994 | $639 | 2d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.990 | $12.87 | 2d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | sell | 1.48K | $0.003 | $4.45 | 2d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | 2d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 486.48 | $0.925 | $450 | 2d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 773.2 | $0.970 | $750 | 2d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.970 | $1.5K | 2d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.850 | $1.8K | 2d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 709.2 | $0.869 | $616 | 2d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 349.32 | $0.730 | $255 | 2d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 544.44 | $0.698 | $380 | 2d ago |
Will Lacy or Marlon die to an enderman?No | buy | 56.58 | $0.760 | $43 | 2d ago |
Will Lacy or Marlon die to an enderman?No | buy | 186.49 | $0.740 | $138 | 2d ago |
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 7.55K | $0.212 | $1.6K | 2d ago |
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.368 | $850 | 2d ago |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | buy | 510.21 | $0.588 | $300 | 2d ago |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 788 | $0.750 | $591 | 2d ago |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 789.34 | $0.760 | $599.9 | 2d ago |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 2.06K | $0.807 | $1.66K | 2d ago |
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 577.27 | $0.440 | $254 | 2d ago |
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.520 | $999.75 | 2d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 38.19 | $0.995 | $38 | 3d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 484.31 | $0.510 | $247 | 3d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 6 and 7 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.304 | $76 | 3d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.700 | $924 | 3d ago |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.260 | $9.88 | 4d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 50 Warzone deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 291.29 | $0.999 | $291 | 4d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 922.22 | $0.004 | $3.69 | 5d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 12 and 13 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.940 | $1.79K | 5d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.032 | $22.06 | 5d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | 5d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 340.64 | $0.951 | $324 | 5d ago |
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a spider?No | buy | 210.63 | $0.802 | $169 | 5d ago |
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton?No | buy | 522.17 | $0.417 | $218 | 5d ago |
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a zombie?No | buy | 626.67 | $0.685 | $429 | 5d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 2 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 96.57 | $0.932 | $90 | 5d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | sell | 47.65 | $0.700 | $33.36 | 5d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 2.06K | $0.630 | $1.3K | 5d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.317 | $383 | 5d ago |
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.612 | $653 | 5d ago |