Analytics
Yes is at 8.1%, down 2.4 points from 10.5% when the market opened on 8 Sep 2026.
Across the 50 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10.5% on 8 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.6%; a month before, 3.3%. Its largest one-day move was 8.2 points up, to 10% on 20 Oct 2026.
$55 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $82.28K since listing. The order book holds $26.23K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 398 trades, $1.63K bought Yes and $24.26K bought No; the largest was a $6.46K buy of No at 92.0¢.
The largest Yes position is smellyEllie with 4.2K shares; the largest No position is Bertapotamous with 7K. Ten wallets hold 79% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 10.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 8.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bertapotamous | No | 7.02K |
| smellyEllie | Yes | 4.16K |
| Perypery | Yes | 2.16K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-new-mexico-to-new-america-byptptpt
| ErnstKuzorra |
| No |
| 1.99K |
| basmati | Yes | 1.46K |
| Cattail | Yes | 1.19K |
| aviato | No | 1.1K |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 1K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 809.51 |
| johnnyA | No | 658.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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