Analytics
Yes is at 5.3%, down 4.7 points from 10% when the market opened on 28 Aug 2026.
Across the 60 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10% on 28 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.3%; a month before, 3.4%.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Trump rename an ocean by...?”.
$138.66 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $40.06K since listing. The order book holds $16.77K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 180 trades, $770.74 bought Yes and $15.74K bought No; the largest was a $6.35K buy of No at 92.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Optimus- with 7K shares; the largest No position is tetrase with 7.6K. Ten wallets hold 81.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 28 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 10.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.3% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order to, or signs any bill into law to, or otherwise takes action to officially rename any ocean by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the oceans are defined as: the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the Arctic Ocean, and the Southern/Antarctic Ocean. Officially renaming any one of these five oceans is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of the new name chosen. Renaming a subdivision of one of these oceans, such as the North Atlantic Ocean or the South Pacific Ocean, will also qualify. If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames any of the five oceans accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Renaming any other body of water, including any sea, gulf, bay, strait, channel, or lake, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed one of the five oceans will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-rename-an-ocean-in-2026
| DegenerateJanet |
| No |
| 3.84K |
| Trashbag | No | 2.94K |
| Perypery | Yes | 2.24K |
| ronaldk | Yes | 2.19K |
| azon7 | Yes | 1.91K |
| Sharathenrique | Yes | 1.64K |
| Mr.Frog🐸 | Yes | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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