Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
Mr.Frog🐸 has made $5.19K on Polymarket, #24,915 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 759.92 | $0.602 | $452.15 | -$5.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 14:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 19:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 19:45 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 2,043 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.78K across 60 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 444.84 |
| $0.559 |
| $371.44 |
| +$122.88 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | 451 | $0.648 | $369.82 | +$77.6 |
 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | No | 430.35 | $0.658 | $305.55 | +$22.13 |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October? | No | 280 | $0.920 | $256.76 | -$0.84 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | Yes | 600 | $0.417 | $246 | -$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 552 | $0.205 | $222.73 | +$109.56 |
 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | No | 964.99 | $0.168 | $202.65 | +$40.45 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 310.99 | $0.526 | $194.37 | +$30.66 |
 Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | No | 400 | $0.370 | $182 | +$34 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 215.99 | $0.571 | $177.11 | +$53.87 |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | No | 902.48 | $0.171 | $171.47 | +$16.93 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | No | 505 | $0.494 | $164.13 | -$85.37 |
 US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | No | 889 | $0.210 | $155.58 | -$31.12 |
 Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 200 | $0.600 | $130.2 | +$10.29 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 1.81K | $0.101 | $106.75 | -$75.75 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.049 | $87.75 | +$13.86 |
 Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | No | 200 | $0.420 | $82 | -$2 |
 Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M? | Yes | 80 | $0.800 | $77.4 | +$13.4 |
 Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.087 | $75.97 | -$17.03 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.101 | $70 | -$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 350 | $0.427 | $64.75 | -$84.81 |
 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 100 | $0.640 | $62.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will "Klara and the Sun" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 61 | $0.940 | $60.79 | +$3.45 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 2.72K | $0.052 | $58.41 | -$82.12 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
