Analytics
Yes is at 43.5%, up 7.5 points from 36% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
The high was 43.5% on 22 Oct 2026 and the low 36% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 43.5% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?”.
$33.57 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $599.69 since listing. The order book holds $2.03K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is qv7mrx29kptf4z with 459 shares; the largest No position is GuyFromTinder with 295.
Trading closes on 16 Nov 2026, 25 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 7:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 36.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qv7mrx29kptf4z | Yes | 459.46 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 295 |
| AJSV | No | 84.46 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gpt-astra-6pt1-released-byptptpt
| sdfsdfsdfsdf2 |
| No |
| 72 |
| lissartter | No | 20 |
| Royal Comet 3DA3 | Yes | 11.3 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 8 |
| Outrageous-Sauerkraut | Yes | 6.43 |
| Old-Azimuth | No | 3.33 |
| Malganis | Yes | 3.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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