Analytics
Yes is at 59.5%, up 2 points from 57.5% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 51% on 26 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 57.5% on 27 Oct 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?”.
$7.89K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.26K since listing. The order book holds $3.15K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 250 trades, $3.36K bought Yes and $2.64K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Incompatible-Hybridisation with 884 shares; the largest No position is Optimus- with 1K. Ten wallets hold 68.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Nov 2026, 35 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 57.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 59.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Optimus- | No | 1.01K |
| troim | No | 1K |
| Incompatible-Hybridisation | Yes | 884 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gpt-astra-6pt1-released-byptptpt
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed |
| No |
| 597.45 |
| Partial-Adrenalin | No | 542.1 |
| moneymakingmachine | Yes | 508.89 |
| 0xdamocles | Yes | 499.99 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 433.63 |
| Alarming-South-Human | Yes | 400 |
| Martinus- | Yes | 378 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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