Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.61K | $0.650 | $4.69K | +$396.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 326.87 | $0.600 | $196.12 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1K |
| $0.737 |
| $915.48 |
| +$178.48 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1K | $0.790 | $855 | +$65 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.641 | $575.05 | -$65.95 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 999.97 | $0.340 | $374.99 | +$35 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | No | 503.75 | $0.600 | $347.59 | +$45.34 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.160 | $290 | -$30 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 1K | $0.060 | $55 | -$5 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 1K | $0.080 | $30.5 | -$49.5 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.020 | $25 | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 43.58 | $0.035 | $0.33 | -$1.2 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.790 |
| $790 |
| 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.641 | $641 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.737 | $737 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | 10d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.160 | $320 | 10d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 5.17K | $0.999 | $5.17K | 10d ago |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.649 | $64.94 | 11d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 1.38K | $0.724 | $1K | 26d ago |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.916 | $915.94 | 26d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | 26d ago |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 2K | $0.975 | $1.95K | 26d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 3.17K | $0.473 | $1.5K | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.230 | $229.93 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 14?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.800 | $4.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.790 | $790 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.790 | $790 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance say Charlie/Kirk 25+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 366 | $0.780 | $285.48 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.666 | $133.09 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 457.91 | $0.790 | $361.75 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.420 | $19.32 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 697.62 | $0.143 | $100 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang join the America Party?Yes | buy | 358.48 | $0.279 | $100 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.856 | $1K | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.869 | $1K | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before August?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.964 | $1K | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.888 | $1K | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 386.62 | $0.259 | $100 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 14.69K | $0.681 | $10K | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 10.06K | $0.497 | $5K | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.172 | $10 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 272.11 | $0.023 | $6.3 | Feb 21, 2025 |