Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 15.61K | $0.466 | $7.88K | +$607.23 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.740 | $917.16 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.79K |
| $0.994 |
| $3.78K |
| +$9.34 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 10K | $0.196 | $3.52K | +$1.56K |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.83K | $0.615 | $2.74K | +$383.7 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.19K | $0.429 | $2.62K | +$392.95 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3.16K | $0.689 | $2.26K | +$81.39 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 130K | $0.010 | $2.02K | +$715 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 2.07K | $0.787 | $1.76K | +$129.74 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 2.59K | $0.685 | $1.75K | -$26.43 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.606 | $1.12K | +$208.61 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.86K | $0.127 | $1.1K | +$354.62 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1.04K | $0.868 | $866.07 | -$33.92 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 697.29 | $0.962 | $673.23 | +$2.31 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 750.02 | $0.727 | $652.52 | +$107.21 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.08K | $0.556 | $609.09 | +$9.09 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.333 | $558.21 | -$42.23 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.04K | $0.480 | $557.29 | +$57.29 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 736.03 | $0.631 | $485.78 | +$21.35 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 536.48 | $0.790 | $454.13 | +$30.49 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 556.93 | $0.890 | $439.97 | -$55.69 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 480.34 | $0.781 | $415.49 | +$40.43 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 625.13 | $0.597 | $396.96 | +$24.06 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 451.41 | $0.723 | $392.73 | +$66.19 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 482.14 | $0.825 | $387.16 | -$10.84 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | Yes | 605.51 | $0.569 | $378.44 | +$33.64 |
| buy |
| 575.74 |
| $0.962 |
| $554.11 |
| 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 121.55 | $0.961 | $116.81 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 556.93 | $0.890 | $495.67 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 351.8 | $0.037 | $13.05 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 510 | $0.039 | $19.88 | 6d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 121.63 | $0.788 | $95.89 | 6d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 370.34 | $0.790 | $292.57 | 6d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 350.71 | $0.650 | $227.96 | 10d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | sell | 230.41 | $0.996 | $229.49 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 228.12 | $0.642 | $146.56 | 10d ago |
 Graham Platner divorce by October 31?No | sell | 45.27 | $0.963 | $43.61 | 10d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 328.75 | $0.986 | $324 | 12d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?No | buy | 82.35 | $0.850 | $70 | 14d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes | buy | 437.5 | $0.560 | $245 | 14d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?No | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | 14d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.67K | $0.071 | $330.75 | 15d ago |
 Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | buy | 35.15 | $0.110 | $3.86 | 15d ago |
| Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | buy | 244.15 | $0.108 | $26.3 | 15d ago |
 Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?No | buy | 229.21 | $0.108 | $24.78 | 15d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | sell | 369.6 | $0.920 | $340.03 | 15d ago |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 113.33 | $0.900 | $102 | 15d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.870 | $15 | 15d ago |
 US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 30.18 | $0.984 | $29.7 | 16d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | sell | 27.09 | $0.940 | $25.46 | 16d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.890 | $4.09 | 17d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 515.69 | $0.907 | $467.57 | 17d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | sell | 342.18 | $0.490 | $167.6 | 17d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | sell | 30.95 | $0.530 | $16.4 | 17d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.540 | $16.2 | 17d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | buy | 135.13 | $0.920 | $124.32 | 17d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.535 | $214 | 17d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.900 | $2.2 | 17d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 3K | $0.880 | $2.64K | 17d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 568.87 | $0.880 | $500.61 | 18d ago |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.530 | $57.24 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.880 | $457.6 | 18d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | 18d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.890 | $40.05 | 18d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | buy | 686.12 | $0.890 | $610.65 | 18d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 49.86 | $0.760 | $37.89 | 24d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 332.55 | $0.120 | $39.91 | 24d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 59.27 | $0.760 | $45.05 | 24d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 24d ago |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | sell | 170.38 | $0.296 | $50.48 | 24d ago |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?Yes | sell | 12.9 | $0.350 | $4.52 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | sell | 243.07 | $0.004 | $1.09 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?No | sell | 14 | $0.190 | $2.66 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 276.88 | $0.006 | $1.69 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 90 | $0.330 | $29.7 | Jul 10, 2026 |