Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:46 AM UTC.
Analytics
Outrageous-Sauerkraut is down $282.46 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:46 AM UTC.
$8.2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 48.0% were buys. They run from Oct 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $17.8 | -$0.2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.600 | $11.4 | 1h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 23:37 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-22 02:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 02:46 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 23:37 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $40.18 and losing ones cost $192.28 across the latest 50 settled positions. 12% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.6 on “Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?” (Yes); the largest loss, $31.5 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 446 markets. Its open positions are worth $341.11 across 74 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.890 |
| $17.52 |
| -$0.28 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $17.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 6%-9%? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $15.7 | -$1.3 |
 Will Elias Pettersson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | No | 20 | $0.830 | $15.1 | -$1.5 |
 Will Jackson Chourio win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $14.7 | -$3.1 |
 Will OG make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.940 | $14 | -$4.8 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.770 | $13.6 | -$1.8 |
 Will Uganda win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H? | No | 20 | $0.823 | $13.53 | -$2.93 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%? | No | 20 | $0.871 | $13.12 | -$4.3 |
 Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference? | No | 16 | $0.830 | $12.88 | -$0.4 |
 Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.680 | $12.7 | -$0.9 |
 Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $12.6 | -$1 |
 Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? | No | 16.36 | $0.800 | $11.12 | -$1.96 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000? | No | 20 | $0.820 | $10.9 | -$5.5 |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.610 | $10.7 | -$1.5 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on October 23, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.840 | $9.9 | -$6.9 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.770 | $9.3 | -$6.1 |
 Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October? | No | 20 | $0.517 | $8.8 | -$1.55 |
 Will DK Metcalf have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 19.72 | $0.450 | $7.99 | -$0.89 |
 Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | Yes | 19.24 | $0.430 | $7.7 | -$0.58 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? | Yes | 11.92 | $0.635 | $6.92 | -$0.66 |
 Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | No | 20 | $0.390 | $6.8 | -$1 |
 Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24? | Yes | 14.23 | $0.600 | $6.47 | -$2.06 |
 Will Florida have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 8.63 | $0.840 | $5.82 | -$1.42 |
| sell |
| 15.23 |
| $0.876 |
| $13.34 |
| 2h ago |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 17% to 21%?No | sell | 3.87 | $0.876 | $3.39 | 2h ago |
 Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 2h ago |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.3 | $0.440 | $4.97 | 3h ago |
 Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 5h ago |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | 6h ago |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No | sell | 4.32 | $0.872 | $3.77 | 6h ago |
 Glider FDV above $25M one day after launch?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 6h ago |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 6h ago |
 Meta (META) Q3 ad impression growth across Family of Apps <10%?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 6h ago |
| Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.550 | $10.45 | 6h ago |
| Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 6h ago |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 6h ago |
| Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 12% of the vote in 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.480 | $9.12 | 6h ago |
| Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.540 | $10.26 | 6h ago |
| Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 12% of the vote in 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.470 | $8.93 | 6h ago |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | 7h ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 7h ago |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes | sell | 0.76 | $0.430 | $0.33 | 7h ago |
 AWS service disrupted by October 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.380 | $0.38 | 7h ago |
| Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?No | sell | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 7h ago |
 Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 7h ago |
 Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 8h ago |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | 8h ago |
| AWS service disrupted by October 31?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.380 | $7.22 | 8h ago |
| AWS service disrupted by October 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.380 | $0.38 | 8h ago |
| AWS service disrupted by October 31?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.380 | $7.22 | 8h ago |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 8h ago |
 Will Derby County be promoted to Premier League?No | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 8h ago |
| Will Derby County be promoted to Premier League?No | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 8h ago |
| Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | 8h ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | 8h ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.360 | $6.48 | 8h ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 8h ago |
| Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?No | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 8h ago |
| Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?No | sell | 3.64 | $0.800 | $2.91 | 9h ago |
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.05 | $0.630 | $6.96 | 9h ago |
 US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 9h ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.630 | $9.45 | 9h ago |
| US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 9h ago |
| Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?Yes | sell | 5.77 | $0.600 | $3.46 | 9h ago |
| Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 9h ago |
| Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 9h ago |
| Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?No | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 9h ago |
| Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 10h ago |
| Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 10h ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.630 | $9.45 | 10h ago |
| Will a Dota 2 match-fixing ban be announced before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.57 | $0.210 | $3.06 | 10h ago |
 Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.8B?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 10h ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.