Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?

politicsActive

Closes Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

38.5%

61.5%

Yes costs 38.5¢No costs 61.5¢

24h Volume

$209

Total volume

$2.4K

Liquidity

$170

Closes

Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Yes is at 38.5%, up 25 points from 14% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.

Across the 12 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 14% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 46%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 33% on 14 Oct 2026.

It is one of 12 markets under “What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?”.

$208.75 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.41K since listing. The order book holds $170.11, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 157 trades, $244.01 bought Yes and $601.46 bought No.

The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 123 shares; the largest No position is Schnitzelwiener with 89.

Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:26 AM UTC

Trade

Trade Yes38.5¢

Pays $1 a share if Yes wins$208.75 24h vol

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026

Same event

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	122.63
Schnitzelwiener	No	88.89
Milin-dc	No	40

Rules

What settles this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's approval rating according to RealClearPolling reaches the listed value at 5:00 PM ET on any date between market creation and June 30, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For markets listed with an upward arrow (↑), the approval rating must be equal to or higher than the listed value. For markets listed with a downward arrow (↓), the approval rating must be equal to or lower than the listed value. This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on each date in the window. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after these times will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources. If the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on June 30, 2027, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after that date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on June 30, 2027 will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.