Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 750 | $0.795 | $641.25 | +$44.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.970 |
| $395.4 |
| +$7.56 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 400.01 | $0.799 | $346.01 | +$26.35 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? | No | 350 | $0.832 | $308 | +$16.75 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 350.01 | $0.849 | $295.76 | -$1.26 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.923 | $280.5 | +$3.5 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 300 | $0.917 | $274.5 | -$0.56 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | $0.915 | $233.75 | +$4.98 |
 No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | No | 250.01 | $0.591 | $223.76 | +$75.9 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.497 | $212 | +$87.71 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? | No | 220 | $0.812 | $196.9 | +$18.17 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 200.01 | $0.915 | $196.71 | +$13.71 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 198.98 | $0.894 | $192.71 | +$14.84 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.871 | $191 | +$16.77 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 200.01 | $0.921 | $190.1 | +$5.9 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 200.01 | $0.914 | $188.01 | +$5.08 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.887 | $183 | +$5.64 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 200.01 | $0.786 | $161.01 | +$3.87 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.772 | $159 | +$4.65 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 160 | $0.895 | $149.6 | +$6.34 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 150.01 | $0.952 | $144.98 | +$2.2 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.884 | $140.25 | +$7.65 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 140 | $0.928 | $133.49 | +$3.61 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 140 | $0.865 | $132.23 | +$11.19 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.777 | $126.75 | +$10.19 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.810 |
| $8.1 |
| 21h ago |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 21h ago |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.825 | $16.5 | 21h ago |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 21h ago |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.029 | $0.87 | 21h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 21h ago |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?No | sell | 10 | $0.038 | $0.38 | 22h ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?No | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | 22h ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | sell | 4.95 | $0.940 | $4.65 | 22h ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 22h ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.880 | $2.81 | 22h ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | 1d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | 1d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.973 | $97.3 | 2d ago |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 3d ago |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?No | sell | 7.81 | $0.890 | $6.95 | 3d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No | sell | 8.1 | $0.920 | $7.45 | 3d ago |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.960 | $28.79 | 3d ago |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 3d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.900 | $89.99 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | 5d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | 5d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.954 | $0.98 | 7d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | 7d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.978 | $48.9 | 7d ago |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 7d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.846 | $8.46 | 7d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 7d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.850 | $42.49 | 7d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | 7d ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.800 | $0.1 | 8d ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | 8d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.91 | $0.081 | $0.24 | 9d ago |
 Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E6 S1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 9d ago |
| Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E6 S1?No | sell | 13.43 | $0.740 | $9.94 | 10d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.829 | $20.72 | 10d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.828 | $20.7 | 10d ago |
| Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E6 S1?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 10d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 10d ago |
| Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E6 S1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 10d ago |
| Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E6 S1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | 10d ago |
| Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E6 S1?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | 11d ago |
| Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E6 S1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | 11d ago |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 11d ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 12d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | 12d ago |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 47.89 | $0.920 | $44.06 | 16d ago |