Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 61%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 61.5% on 20 Oct 2026. $5.94K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 8:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 61.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fihdrzgdd | No | 100 |
| Shabby-Mayonnaise | No | 51 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-2026-ballon-dor-ceremony-20261016121846566
New to prediction markets?
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| 50 |
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