Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? | No | 52.5 | $0.890 | $45.15 | -$1.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 16.73 | $0.670 | $11.21 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 52.5 |
| $0.850 |
| $43.58 |
| -$1.05 |
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | No | 42 | $0.820 | $34.65 | +$0.21 |
 Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 52.5 | $0.660 | $33.08 | -$1.58 |
 Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election? | No | 50 | $0.560 | $33 | +$5 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | No | 42.01 | $0.730 | $31.51 | +$0.84 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | No | 105 | $0.385 | $28.88 | -$11.55 |
 Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung? | No | 35.82 | $0.710 | $26.86 | +$1.43 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.490 | $23.7 | -$5.7 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 55.61 | $0.724 | $23.6 | -$16.66 |
 Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election? | No | 31 | $0.710 | $23.1 | +$1.09 |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 21 | $0.870 | $19.74 | +$1.47 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026? | No | 21 | $0.930 | $19.7 | +$0.17 |
 Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 10? | No | 28 | $0.660 | $19.04 | +$0.56 |
 Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 52.5 | $0.590 | $18.64 | -$12.34 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 21 | $0.851 | $18.28 | +$0.41 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000? | No | 25.24 | $0.636 | $17.92 | +$1.86 |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9? | Yes | 21 | $0.850 | $17.85 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.670 | $17.7 | -$2.4 |
 Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | No | 21 | $0.830 | $17.64 | +$0.21 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 10? | No | 21 | $0.650 | $17.54 | +$3.89 |
 Will Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo win the Vaimauga 3 by-election? | No | 20.55 | $0.710 | $16.75 | +$2.16 |
 Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice? | Yes | 41.99 | $0.470 | $16.59 | -$3.15 |
 Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 50 | $0.350 | $16.5 | -$1 |
| sell |
| 31.5 |
| $0.500 |
| $15.75 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?Yes | sell | 20.99 | $0.270 | $5.67 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.150 | $3.15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.270 | $5.67 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.5 | $0.151 | $7.17 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?No | sell | 21 | $0.620 | $13.02 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by July 31?No | sell | 21 | $0.490 | $10.29 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No | sell | 52.5 | $0.600 | $31.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No | sell | 40.3 | $0.351 | $14.15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?No | sell | 21 | $0.520 | $10.92 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 9?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.080 | $1.68 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.570 | $11.97 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.199 | $4.18 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.750 | $15.75 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Jennifer Lopez perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | sell | 42.32 | $0.950 | $40.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Graham Platner charged by August 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.110 | $0.66 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?Yes | sell | 9.19 | $0.010 | $0.09 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.94 | $0.050 | $0.7 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?No | sell | 16.29 | $0.670 | $10.91 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?No | sell | 19.55 | $0.550 | $10.75 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will David Ross be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?Yes | sell | 19.95 | $0.009 | $0.18 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.270 | $5.67 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?No | sell | 21 | $0.200 | $4.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Rodri join Al-Hilal?Yes | sell | 30.64 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?Yes | sell | 31.5 | $0.080 | $2.52 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?Yes | sell | 52.5 | $0.002 | $0.11 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 43.13 | $0.220 | $9.49 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?Yes | sell | 68.94 | $0.005 | $0.33 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?No | sell | 95.2 | $0.090 | $8.57 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31?No | sell | 105 | $0.760 | $79.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in July?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.480 | $71.93 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.200 | $28.81 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Yes | sell | 273.65 | $0.150 | $41.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.590 | $88.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?No | sell | 130 | $0.777 | $100.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Christian Pulisic score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 102.14 | $0.913 | $93.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 45 | $0.920 | $41.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 54.11 | $0.921 | $49.84 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Christian Pulisic score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.540 | $2.61 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 30?No | sell | 7.19 | $0.870 | $6.26 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No | sell | 96.24 | $0.450 | $43.31 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Christian Pulisic score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 69.16 | $0.430 | $29.74 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?No | sell | 52.5 | $0.689 | $36.15 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | sell | 52.5 | $0.750 | $39.38 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 84.24 | $0.530 | $44.65 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 63.62 | $0.760 | $48.35 | Jun 29, 2026 |
