
Yes is at 3%, down 11 points from 14% when the market opened on 18 Sep 2026.
Across the 35 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 14% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 3% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 13.5% on 25 Sep 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?”.
$999.2 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $62.4, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 70 shares; the largest No position is Talophex with 109.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 5:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 18 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 14.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying. A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-full-training-pause-in-2026
| Dr.PNL |
| Yes |
| 39.98 |
| Johnny-Worker | Yes | 38.61 |
| memetal | No | 24.47 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21.95 |
| Useless-Squash | Yes | 20 |
| Laribobibo | No | 20 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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