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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.990 | $49.73 | +$0.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 5h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 64.52 |
| $0.578 |
| $45.2 |
| +$7.93 |
| Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? | No | 60.08 | $0.438 | $23.73 | -$2.59 |
 GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027? | No | 100 | $0.240 | $21.5 | -$2.5 |
| Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027? | No | 151.2 | $0.160 | $20.41 | -$3.74 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 100 | $0.220 | $18 | -$4 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 170.33 | $0.149 | $17.88 | -$7.47 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.270 | $13.25 | -$0.25 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 29 | $0.360 | $10.59 | +$0.15 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | Yes | 50.01 | $0.068 | $3.18 | -$0.23 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.130 | $2.3 | -$0.3 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.550 |
| $11 |
| 7h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.170 | $1.76 | 23h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 11.41 | $0.090 | $1.03 | 23h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.031 | $0.16 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.220 | $11 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.110 | $1.03 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | sell | 74.79 | $0.034 | $2.54 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | sell | 110.22 | $0.035 | $3.81 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.170 | $1.76 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 51.97 | $0.047 | $2.46 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 51.97 | $0.045 | $2.35 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | sell | 31.47 | $0.250 | $7.87 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?No | buy | 47.05 | $0.985 | $46.34 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.95 | $0.015 | $0.79 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 61.6 | $0.017 | $1.03 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 105.25 | $0.030 | $3.16 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?No | buy | 70.56 | $0.930 | $65.62 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?No | buy | 34.72 | $0.920 | $31.94 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.26 | $0.090 | $4.16 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.090 | $8.37 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.090 | $9.09 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.380 | $6.08 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 70.42 | $0.840 | $59.15 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.770 | $2.71 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.9 | $0.800 | $37.52 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.810 | $29.16 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.870 | $14.79 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.8 | $0.870 | $46.81 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.663 | $19.9 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 50.79 | $0.607 | $30.83 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 50.85 | $0.580 | $29.49 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 70.05 | $0.979 | $68.58 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.976 | $15.65 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 116 | $0.976 | $113.22 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.84 | $0.982 | $14.57 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.981 | $6.28 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 123.5 | $0.950 | $117.32 | 6d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.969 | $96.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | 7d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.710 | $7.09 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.960 | $28.79 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.995 | $5.07 | 8d ago |