Analytics
Yes is at 17.6%, down 9.4 points from 27% when the market opened on 19 Sep 2026.
The high was 27% on 19 Sep 2026 and the low 1.3% on 21 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 15.2%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 4% on 20 Sep 2026.
Old Dominion ranks second of the 5 outcomes in “CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026”. The Red Clay Strays leads at 79.5%; Little Big Town is at 3.2%.
$2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.35K, with a 4.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 43 trades, $260.64 bought Yes and $574.16 bought No.
The largest Yes position is macrosteaks with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is RenanSantosPresidenteNon with 1.1K.
Trading closes on 19 Nov 2026, 45 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 5, 10:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 18 points · 19 Sep 2026 – 5 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | 27.0% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 17.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RenanSantosPresidenteNon | No | 1.08K |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 1.06K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 610.33 |
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed group that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year. If a listed group is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning group whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cma-vocal-group-of-the-year-2026
| DuneMentat | Yes | 200.43 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 198 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 185 |
| alamedamemola | Yes | 156.9 |
| Dapsy | No | 150 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 25 |
| Laribobibo | No | 21 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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