Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.5K | $0.850 | $1.28K | +$7.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 7.65 | $0.740 | $5.66 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 506 |
| $0.860 |
| $397.21 |
| -$37.95 |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election? | Yes | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | $0 |
 Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | $0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? | No | 482.28 | $0.820 | $349.65 | -$45.82 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.840 | $332 | -$4 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 400 | $0.890 | $326 | -$30 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | No | 300.01 | $0.870 | $277.51 | +$16.5 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 400.17 | $0.770 | $270.12 | -$37.99 |
 Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election? | Yes | 300 | $0.880 | $259.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | Yes | 300 | $0.860 | $253.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 300 | $0.833 | $228 | -$21.9 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.540 | $227.5 | -$42.5 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | 400 | $0.870 | $224 | -$124 |
 Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.610 | $217.5 | +$34.5 |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.924 | $195.2 | +$10.4 |
 Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? | Yes | 200 | $0.925 | $190.1 | +$5.1 |
 Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 300 | $0.660 | $189 | -$9 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 300 | $0.610 | $187.5 | +$4.5 |
 Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026? | No | 273.01 | $0.830 | $180.19 | -$46.41 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 200 | $0.810 | $179 | +$17 |
 Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next? | No | 190 | $0.470 | $175.75 | +$86.45 |
 Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | Yes | 200 | $0.900 | $172 | -$8 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.810 | $171 | +$9 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 200 | $0.790 | $165 | +$7 |
| sell |
| 199.99 |
| $0.060 |
| $12 |
| 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 296.95 | $0.048 | $14.25 | 4d ago |
 Indiana lions in custody by August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 399.98 | $0.001 | $0.4 | 11d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 23?No | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | 18d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 13.34 | $0.719 | $9.59 | 18d ago |
 Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | 19d ago |
 Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.070 | $21 | 20d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 9?No | sell | 106.83 | $0.999 | $106.72 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%?No | sell | 28.41 | $0.999 | $28.38 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.088 | $17.63 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.082 | $2.05 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.800 | $320 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?No | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?No | buy | 60 | $0.852 | $51.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 399.99 | $0.080 | $32 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Yes | sell | 84.2 | $0.060 | $5.05 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.040 | $16 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.660 | $264 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 21?No | sell | 98.26 | $0.620 | $60.92 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?Yes | sell | 542.09 | $0.030 | $16.26 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.999 | $299.7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.900 | $2.79 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?Up | sell | 8.49 | $0.740 | $6.28 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.024 | $7.09 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.019 | $1.9 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.969 | $0.1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.022 | $110 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 600 | $0.587 | $352.06 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | sell | 800 | $0.701 | $560.69 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 155.42 | $0.285 | $44.32 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 591.24 | $0.300 | $177.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 281.14 | $0.263 | $74.02 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.988 | $9.88K | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 232.39 | $0.001 | $0.23 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.037 | $3.7 | May 28, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.026 | $10.4 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.890 | $267 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | sell | 400 | $0.161 | $64.54 | May 22, 2026 |