Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 6 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 9 Oct 2026.
Across the 14 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 14.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%.
It is one of 4 markets under “Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?”.
$10.15K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $9.77K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is tradetosurvive1 with 449 shares; the largest No position is 0xdc3E831cad with 639. Ten wallets hold 82% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 10:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 6%–18%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 638.61 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 583.49 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 449.2 |
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user and carries out tasks, such as sending email and booking travel (https://about.fb.com/news/2026/09/introducing-muse-personal-ai-agent/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company launches a Muse-like personal agent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Muse-like personal agent is an AI agent that runs on a cloud computer provided by the listed company that is dedicated to the individual user and remains assigned to that user between tasks, can begin tasks on its own, such as on a schedule or when a new email arrives, and can take actions on websites or in the user's connected accounts, such as sending email or submitting forms. Computing environments created for each task or session will not qualify. Products limited to a single type of task, such as coding, software development, email, or travel booking, offered only through an API, or sold only to businesses will not qualify. A Muse-like personal agent must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to paid subscription plans or to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-launch-a-muse-like-personal-agent-before-2027
| AJSV | Yes | 409.13 |
| Dapsy | No | 200 |
| qwerty069 | Yes | 122.22 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 100 |
| rocky42005 | Yes | 77 |
| lissartter | Yes | 75.8 |
| SulkingCrypto | Yes | 68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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