Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 50K | $0.429 | $42.75K | +$21.31K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?Yes | sell | 115.88 | $0.052 | $6.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 20K |
| $0.721 |
| $18.7K |
| +$4.29K |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 9.5K | $0.804 | $8.85K | +$1.22K |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 8.28K | $0.600 | $5.59K | +$620.67 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 7K | $0.520 | $2.59K | -$1.05K |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 5K | $0.642 | $2.42K | -$784.97 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 4K | $0.730 | $2.18K | -$740 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 7K | $0.386 | $2.07K | -$634.98 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 1.99K | $0.165 | $923.08 | +$595.17 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 1.5K | $0.770 | $870 | -$285 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.95K | $0.416 | $859.57 | -$1.61K |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.2K | $0.500 | $734.52 | -$2.36K |
 Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | No | 1.59K | $0.550 | $342.62 | -$533.85 |
 Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 126.74 | $0.923 | $123.89 | +$6.84 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.2K | $0.500 | $108.47 | -$2.99K |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 74.46 | $0.720 | $65.15 | +$11.54 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.2K | $0.500 | $58.89 | -$3.04K |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 500 | $0.660 | $55 | -$275 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 259.68 | $0.120 | $48.69 | +$17.53 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.2K | $0.500 | $46.49 | -$3.05K |
 Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 1.09K | $0.060 | $45.23 | -$20.16 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.2K | $0.500 | $40.29 | -$3.06K |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 2K | $0.500 | $31 | -$969 |
 Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | No | 36.41 | $0.963 | $30.22 | -$4.83 |
 Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | No | 33.68 | $0.900 | $22.99 | -$7.33 |
| sell |
| 9.52K |
| $0.005 |
| $45.35 |
| Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.432 | $3.32 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.982 | $990.02 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.947 | $1.05K | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.66K | $0.910 | $1.51K | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will none of the eaglets hatch before April 17?No | sell | 38.98 | $0.950 | $37.03 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.480 | $836.78 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No | buy | 57.4 | $0.495 | $28.41 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No | buy | 295.97 | $0.499 | $147.73 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No | buy | 84.72 | $0.499 | $42.31 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No | buy | 663.42 | $0.499 | $330.93 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No | buy | 4.15K | $0.500 | $2.07K | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 5.74K | $0.710 | $4.07K | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 10K | $0.790 | $7.9K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.85K | $0.946 | $2.7K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No | sell | 350 | $0.923 | $323.06 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.798 | $1.2K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 69.47 | $0.929 | $64.55 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 632.44 | $0.920 | $581.84 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.36K | $0.969 | $2.29K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.520 | $652.27 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes | sell | 2.71K | $0.003 | $8.14 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No | sell | 400 | $0.995 | $398 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | sell | 1.26K | $0.962 | $1.21K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 698.56 | $0.950 | $663.63 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.12K | $0.001 | $4.32 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 497.16 | $0.910 | $452.42 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | sell | 1.28K | $0.951 | $1.22K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 124.95 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will qwen3.5-max-preview have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 124.95 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will dola-seed-2.0-preview have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.34K | $0.001 | $2.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will gpt-5.4-high have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 124.95 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 249.26 | $0.050 | $12.46 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 24K | $0.051 | $1.21K | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Yes | sell | 119.28 | $0.020 | $2.39 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 1.7K | $0.071 | $120.5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 196 | $0.730 | $143.08 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will dola-seed-2.0-preview have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 92.19 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will gemini-3-flash have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 74.19 | $0.001 | $0.07 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will kimi-k2.5-thinking have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 81.2 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will gemini-2.5-pro have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 97.13 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 64.99K | $0.003 | $194.96 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.3 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?No | buy | 595.68 | $0.910 | $542.07 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will gemini-2.5-pro have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?No | buy | 134.83 | $0.990 | $133.47 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will grok-4.20-beta1 have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?No | buy | 124.9 | $0.990 | $123.65 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will kimi-k2.5-thinking have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?No | buy | 124.9 | $0.990 | $123.65 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will dola-seed-2.0-preview have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?No | buy | 224.82 | $0.990 | $222.57 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will gemini-3-flash have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?No | buy | 124.9 | $0.990 | $123.65 | Apr 3, 2026 |