Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.29 | $0.880 | $14.73 | +$1.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.350 | $10.5 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.280 |
| $5.7 |
| +$0.1 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.190 | $2.1 | -$1.7 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | Yes | 198.75 | $0.008 | $0.7 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 23.58 |
| $0.214 |
| $5.05 |
| 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 198.75 | $0.008 | $1.59 | 12d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 41.45 | $0.130 | $5.39 | 12d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Yes | buy | 101.4 | $0.361 | $36.65 | 16d ago |
| Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Yes | sell | 54.04 | $0.603 | $32.61 | 18d ago |
| Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Yes | buy | 29.05 | $0.850 | $24.69 | 18d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 8 hours?Yes | buy | 14.62 | $0.130 | $1.9 | 19d ago |
 Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?Yes | buy | 381.48 | $0.003 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?Yes | buy | 32.76 | $0.058 | $1.9 | 25d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No | sell | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?Yes | buy | 86.79 | $0.610 | $52.94 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 125.54 | $0.320 | $40.17 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 25.55 | $0.770 | $19.67 | 28d ago |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 200.89 | $0.090 | $18.08 | 29d ago |
 Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | sell | 48.31 | $0.006 | $0.29 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 38.32 | $0.380 | $14.56 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?Yes | buy | 79.7 | $0.400 | $31.88 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?No | sell | 15 | $0.404 | $6.06 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 41.46 | $0.240 | $9.95 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Yes | buy | 50.56 | $0.036 | $1.82 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.014 | $1.05 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?Yes | buy | 24.07 | $0.059 | $1.42 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | sell | 137.61 | $0.750 | $103.21 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | buy | 137.61 | $0.367 | $50.48 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | sell | 87.44 | $0.080 | $7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | buy | 87.45 | $0.375 | $32.83 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.001 | $0.19 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes | sell | 251.54 | $0.060 | $15.09 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes | buy | 84.86 | $0.510 | $43.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes | sell | 84.72 | $0.210 | $17.79 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes | sell | 84.71 | $0.080 | $6.78 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes | sell | 169.42 | $0.106 | $17.92 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes | buy | 130.08 | $0.130 | $16.91 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes | buy | 38.23 | $0.130 | $4.97 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?No | sell | 12.99 | $0.100 | $1.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 71.64 | $0.558 | $40 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.621 | $18.93 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.794 | $19.86 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 31.65 | $0.790 | $25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Warrior" this week?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 58.1 | $0.400 | $23.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?No | buy | 28.05 | $0.870 | $24.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Yes | sell | 66.93 | $0.321 | $21.47 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.054 | $3.18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?No | buy | 67.74 | $0.724 | $49.03 | Jun 12, 2026 |