Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:51 AM UTC.
lisra has made $16.67K on Polymarket, #9,457 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:51 AM UTC.
$44.59 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 28 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Oct 25, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 9.27K | $0.506 | $4.78K | +$86.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 35.5 | $0.980 | $34.79 | 2m ago |
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Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 23:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 02:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 02:51 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 06:01 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $31.29K and losing ones cost $7.74K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.94K on “Grok 4.20 released by January 15?” (No); the largest loss, $5.34K on “Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 15 Nov 2025 and most recently on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 421 markets. Its open positions are worth $11.53K across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.43K |
| $0.749 |
| $1.37K |
| +$298.38 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 2K | $0.610 | $1.33K | +$110 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.54K | $0.444 | $1.14K | +$14.81 |
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | No | 825.9 | $0.894 | $794.93 | +$56.68 |
Anthropic acquired before 2027? | No | 757.88 | $0.907 | $744.24 | +$56.96 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 5.37K | $0.339 | $681.39 | -$1.14K |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.842 | $481.75 | +$60.75 |
Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 272 | $0.634 | $133.28 | -$39.13 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Up | 81 | $0.980 | $80.96 | +$1.58 |
| buy |
| 45.5 |
| $0.980 |
| $44.59 |
| 2m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 10.02 | $0.997 | $9.99 | 7m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 7m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 45.95 | $0.970 | $44.59 | 7m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp | buy | 31.32 | $0.960 | $30.07 | 12m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 12m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETDown | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 17m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETDown | buy | 45.97 | $0.970 | $44.59 | 17m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETDown | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 27m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETDown | buy | 45.97 | $0.970 | $44.59 | 27m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown | buy | 5.77 | $0.990 | $5.71 | 30m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown | buy | 27.08 | $0.990 | $26.81 | 31m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 32m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 10.03 | $0.996 | $9.99 | 37m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 47m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown | buy | 46.48 | $0.960 | $44.62 | 51m ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | buy | 45.82 | $0.973 | $44.59 | 1h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETDown | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 1h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETDown | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 1h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp | buy | 45.97 | $0.970 | $44.59 | 1h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp | buy | 46.45 | $0.960 | $44.59 | 1h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown | buy | 46.97 | $0.950 | $44.62 | 2h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown | buy | 46.48 | $0.960 | $44.62 | 2h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 10.02 | $0.997 | $9.99 | 4h ago |
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 10.02 | $0.997 | $9.99 | 5h ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 193.03 | $0.120 | $23.16 | 5h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 47.3 | $0.940 | $44.46 | 5h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 47.7 | $0.940 | $44.84 | 5h ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 35.8 | $0.120 | $4.3 | 5h ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 321.67 | $0.120 | $38.6 | 6h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 6h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 45.97 | $0.970 | $44.59 | 6h ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 1.95K | $0.120 | $233.94 | 6h ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.120 | $0 | 6h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 25.02 | $0.990 | $24.77 | 6h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 75.99 | $0.990 | $75.23 | 6h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 6h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 47.52 | $0.930 | $44.18 | 6h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 49.15 | $0.908 | $44.64 | 6h ago |
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 10.02 | $0.997 | $9.99 | 7h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 46.48 | $0.960 | $44.62 | 8h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 46.5 | $0.960 | $44.64 | 8h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | 8h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 45.5 | $0.980 | $44.59 | 8h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown | buy | 46.99 | $0.950 | $44.64 | 8h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown | buy | 46.48 | $0.960 | $44.62 | 8h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown | buy | 49.03 | $0.910 | $44.62 | 9h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 47.71 | $0.936 | $44.65 | 9h ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 47.51 | $0.930 | $44.18 | 9h ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.