Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 26.68K | $0.944 | $25.49K | +$301.24 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.957 | $478.5 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 41.69K |
| $0.440 |
| $20.95K |
| +$2.61K |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.5K | $0.961 | $9.25K | +$119.82 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 41.27K | $0.325 | $8.07K | -$5.33K |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 7.98K | $0.950 | $7.59K | +$5.81 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.72K | $0.958 | $7.37K | -$31.15 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 7K | $0.995 | $6.98K | +$12.52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.37K | $0.967 | $6.25K | +$90.25 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 5.96K | $0.951 | $5.73K | +$64.69 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 5.91K | $0.955 | $5.69K | +$44.18 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20K | $0.200 | $4.81K | +$813.56 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 4.35K | $0.918 | $4.07K | +$72.38 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 4K | $0.958 | $3.93K | +$100.56 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3.5K | $0.877 | $3.1K | +$28.51 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.946 | $2.9K | +$62.62 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 2.59K | $0.963 | $2.52K | +$23.25 |
 Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.48K | $0.970 | $2.41K | +$2.25 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20K | $0.139 | $1.96K | -$821.39 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.07K | $0.946 | $1.94K | -$13.38 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 1.73K | $0.980 | $1.72K | +$25.04 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.8K | $0.948 | $1.7K | -$6 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 1.74K | $0.940 | $1.65K | +$8.73 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.69K | $0.770 | $1.56K | +$261.56 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.7K | $0.877 | $1.46K | -$29 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.933 | $1.44K | +$39.25 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.957 |
| $478.5 |
| 2d ago |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | buy | 441.81 | $0.971 | $428.96 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.960 | $480 | 3d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.75K | $0.987 | $1.73K | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 522.92 | $0.985 | $515.08 | 3d ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 481.17 | $0.958 | $460.96 | 5d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | 5d ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 900 | $0.958 | $862.2 | 5d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.994 | $2.49K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.995 | $1.99K | 6d ago |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No | buy | 1K | $0.995 | $994.97 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.995 | $995 | 8d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.980 | $1.37K | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.995 | $1.99K | 8d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 95.46 | $0.998 | $95.27 | 8d ago |
 US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 41.73 | $0.999 | $41.69 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.996 | $498 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.996 | $1.99K | 9d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 995 | $0.990 | $985.05 | 9d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 254 | $0.989 | $251.21 | 9d ago |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | 11d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.53K | $0.955 | $1.46K | 11d ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.950 | $1.33K | 12d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?No | buy | 777 | $0.990 | $769.23 | 12d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.954 | $1.91K | 12d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 4K | $0.954 | $3.82K | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 118 | $0.899 | $106.08 | 12d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 171 | $0.910 | $155.61 | 13d ago |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 500 | $0.740 | $370 | 16d ago |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | buy | 203.26 | $0.970 | $197.16 | 16d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | 16d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No | buy | 383 | $0.900 | $344.7 | 17d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.900 | $243 | 17d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.982 | $1.96K | 18d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.979 | $489.5 | 18d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.979 | $587.4 | 18d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.953 | $4.77 | 19d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 860.21 | $0.994 | $855.05 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | buy | 424 | $0.985 | $417.64 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.61 | $0.973 | $82.33 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 636.85 | $0.966 | $615.2 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.58K | $0.985 | $1.55K | 20d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 951.18 | $0.994 | $945.47 | 20d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.830 | $165.99 | 20d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | buy | 116.13 | $0.820 | $95.23 | 20d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 396.91 | $0.968 | $384.21 | 20d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.953 | $476.5 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.53 | $0.958 | $56.09 | 20d ago |