Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 47 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 17 Dec 2025.
Across the 286 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10%; a month before, 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 17% on 24 Jun 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$20.28K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.07K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 270 trades, $916.91 bought Yes and $4.43K bought No; the largest was a $1.46K buy of No at 75.9¢.
The largest Yes position is tedward111 with 226 shares; the largest No position is WatchTheTape with 467. Ten wallets hold 73.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 286 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 54.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WatchTheTape | No | 467.06 |
| shiifoo | No | 342.37 |
| tedward111 | Yes | 225.5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
16 more markets, none above 4.3%.
| UMAisawesome |
| Yes |
| 196.04 |
| 42021 | Yes | 159 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 153.89 |
| LarBotPrime | No | 151.79 |
| crossx | No | 124 |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 91.34 |
| AciliMeyvaSuyu | No | 87.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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